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The accompanying map shows each state's relative party strength (the full data for each state appears at the end of the article) in the first half of 2009, which primarily covers the time since Barack Obama took office as president. States in which one of the parties enjoys a 10 or more percentage point advantage in leaned identification are considered solid supporters of that party. States with between a five- and nine-point advantage are considered leaning toward that party, and states with less than a five-point advantage for one of the parties are considered competitive.
Arkansas is maybe the most anomalous as it's "Solid Democratic" and among the "Most Conservative" in net-conservative score. Other Solidly Democratic states to be listed as high in net-conservative are
Delaware
Indiana - Historically Republican though. I think they turned Democratic over anger with the recession, etc.
Iowa
Kentucky - Democratic governor, but strongly McCain in 2008. Their representation in the US Congress is majority Republican.
New Mexico
North Carolina
Ohio - Noted as a swing state
West Virginia - Democratic party has most local power and US Congress representation, but in Presidential elections they've went Republican from 2000 onward.
Delaware was a bit of a surprise to me as they tend to vote pretty liberal due to the most populated of the three counties being fairly liberal. Maybe their survey overselected for the more conservative areas of the state.
Last edited by Thomas R.; 08-16-2009 at 07:32 PM..
Gallup lists Colorado as the only state to have a "moderate" plurality and be non-solid in party. States that have 40% or more self-proclaimed moderates and are in the "center" on net-conservatism are
Arkansas is maybe the most anomalous as it's "Solid Democratic" and among the "Most Conservative" in net-conservative score. Other Solidly Democratic states to be listed as high in net-conservative are
Delaware
Indiana - Historically Republican though. I think they turned Democratic over anger with the recession, etc.
Iowa
Kentucky - Democratic governor, but strongly McCain in 2008. Their representation in the US Congress is majority Republican.
New Mexico
North Carolina
Ohio - Noted as a swing state
West Virginia - Democratic party has most local power and US Congress representation, but in Presidential elections they've went Republican from 2000 onward.
Delaware was a bit of a surprise to me as they tend to vote pretty liberal due to the most populated of the three counties being fairly liberal. Maybe their survey overselected for the more conservative areas of the state.
Good point, but not too surprising...even Hilary Clinton dislikes the liberal label and prefers the term 'progressive'...so....I think how they respond to concrete ideas like the Democratic or Republican Party is more telling than how they respond to abstract terms like 'conservative' or 'liberal'.
Good point, but not too surprising...even Hilary Clinton dislikes the liberal label and prefers the term 'progressive'...so....I think how they respond to concrete ideas like the Democratic or Republican Party is more telling than how they respond to abstract terms like 'conservative' or 'liberal'.
Nice subject in it's own right though, thanks!
Perhaps, but I'm skeptical that Democratic dominance in Arkansas and Kentucky means they're "progressive." They both went for McCain. In Kentucky Floyd County went for McCain despite the fact it had went Democratic for decades. In 2004 those two states voted 75% in favor of amendments that prohibited both Same-sex-marriage and civil unions. I think they come out highly Democratic because Democratic politicians there are often moderate to conservative, not because Democrats there prefer "progressive" to "liberal."
I'm slightly conservative and I voted for McCain, but my vote counts for nothing here. However, I did see Obama speak live before he had a large following (got pretty close) and I have to say I was impressed. I may not have voted for him, but I hope he does well for this country. I won't wish ill upon my opponent if it also damages myself, and I do have a great deal of respect for Obama. I may not agree with ideologies, but I do believe that he embodies the modern American dream: the man who rose from nothing to the greatest office in the country.
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