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If you judge the market from a technical standpoint, it may be prepared to free-fall. I'm a little skeptical because there hasn't been an event to trigger a market free fall, especially considering the government immorally chose to calculate GDP differently in order to confuse the public, and hides the true unemployment.
However, those that do this for a living surely know that the numbers are inflated.
I wonder if the global economy will have a significant affect on the stock market. People have been saying for a while now that earnings may be up in some cases, but generally revenue has become stagnant, which may mean that people were let go in place of technology or doing more with less.
Anyway, I've been through this before, and I lost all my money.
This time, I'm not going down with a sinking ship, but I would rather be actively involved than sitting out on the sidelines.
I think retail would be a great stock to short in this type of environment, but it looks like retail has already taken a significant hit.
Anybody with experience, what do you suggest people short?
If you truly feel that the market is set to decline and are willing to "market time", my suggestion would be to hedge your portfolio with SPXS which will move 3X in the opposite direction of the S&P.
I read some technical reports yesterday.
Some predict another short rally before yet another big drop.
Others predict this is just a correction and we'll go into a rally.
Who is right here ?
All though seem bullish on long term views.
Retail and food companies have taken a hit.
The hit to food companies has one analyst worried though.
If you had to ask, you shouldn't be shorting. Please make sure you know what you doing before shorting.
Apparently, I didn't ask you then. If you don't have anything to contribute, please stay out of my thread. There is always someone that has to interject their thoughts as if they are all knowning and all seeing.
If you truly feel that the market is set to decline and are willing to "market time", my suggestion would be to hedge your portfolio with SPXS which will move 3X in the opposite direction of the S&P.
I appreciate the suggestion. I don't have a lot of time to investigate this stock this morning, but upon first viewing, it is set up to do exactly what you suggest it does.
I've lived long enough to understand that sometimes fundamental analysis isn't enough to make up for the psychology of the market, and at times, it almost inexplicably drops.
What's difficult about the market is if you do a linear regression model, you'll find that GDP and the stock market have no correlation.
Sometimes, the stock market is just a big gamble.
And I'm betting on red. Those that are also thinking along the same lines, please offer any suggestions or any tools you use to decide what stocks you plan to short.
When you predict the market to go up, long the high beta stocks such as banks, other large financial institutions, travel service companies, social networks, and new technology. When you predict the reverse, short these stocks.
Stocks with high beta. Of course, that gets priced in.
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