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Old 07-10-2022, 09:09 AM
 
24,409 posts, read 26,971,175 times
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Just for fun, this is a scenario I hope happens...


We rally from here to either the downward sloping trend-line or the 200-day moving average and then start our final leg down in this bear market potentially to the pre-covid highs.


The rally so far is being led primarily by growth stocks, biotech stocks and chinese stocks. This is a good thing. We have earnings coming out along with more economic data, but from a technical standpoint, this scenario would make perfect sense.


The other scenario would be finding resistance right around here around the 50-day and rollover right now or very soon.


Of course there are many other potential scenarios, but like I said, for fun this is the scenario I'm hoping happens. Hope is not an investment strategy.

_
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Old 07-13-2022, 06:55 AM
 
Location: Valley of the Sun
2,619 posts, read 2,337,427 times
Reputation: 2824
Quote:
Originally Posted by bmw335xi View Post
Just for fun, this is a scenario I hope happens...


We rally from here to either the downward sloping trend-line or the 200-day moving average and then start our final leg down in this bear market potentially to the pre-covid highs.


The rally so far is being led primarily by growth stocks, biotech stocks and chinese stocks. This is a good thing. We have earnings coming out along with more economic data, but from a technical standpoint, this scenario would make perfect sense.


The other scenario would be finding resistance right around here around the 50-day and rollover right now or very soon.


Of course there are many other potential scenarios, but like I said, for fun this is the scenario I'm hoping happens. Hope is not an investment strategy.

_
Option 2.

Rolling over!
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Old 07-13-2022, 07:42 AM
 
24,409 posts, read 26,971,175 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lewdog_5 View Post
Option 2.

Rolling over!

Finding life for now along the lower trend-line.



_
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Old 07-16-2022, 10:57 AM
 
Location: in a galaxy far far away
19,221 posts, read 16,705,467 times
Reputation: 33352
Thought I'd share a little stock market humor seeing how there's been little to laugh about lately. I know things will improve but in the meantime . . .

Swing trading - discussion, learning, sharing, setups-fxy2a8qucaaucz2.jpg
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Old 07-19-2022, 09:13 PM
 
Location: Valley of the Sun
2,619 posts, read 2,337,427 times
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Are we back to trading?!?!?!
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Old 07-20-2022, 08:39 AM
 
Location: USA
1,078 posts, read 628,818 times
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Originally Posted by lewdog_5 View Post
Are we back to trading?!?!?!
I've been buying shares for the past several months in my favorite stocks. I don't want to let this buying opportunity slip by! And I'm looking at my newer positions in AMZN, META, NFLX, and SNAP as trades. Once they get back to their all-time highs, I'll probably take out my original investment and let the rest ride. Not sure if I care to hold them as part of my long-term portfolio...still undecided.
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Old 07-20-2022, 09:50 AM
 
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I've built a 30% size in TQQQ. Market is looking good. Growth stocks are leading the charge is what we want to see.
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Old 07-20-2022, 02:17 PM
 
Location: USA
1,078 posts, read 628,818 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bmw335xi View Post
I've built a 30% size in TQQQ. Market is looking good. Growth stocks are leading the charge is what we want to see.
Yes! Tech led the way down, and it'll lead the charge back up. I'm up ~21% on my current position in TQQQ. It'll marginally become a larger position as it gets back to the 200.
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Old 07-21-2022, 07:16 AM
 
24,409 posts, read 26,971,175 times
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Originally Posted by FIRE42 View Post
Yes! Tech led the way down, and it'll lead the charge back up. I'm up ~21% on my current position in TQQQ. It'll marginally become a larger position as it gets back to the 200.

As of right now, I'm still viewing this as a bear market rally. However, it is one worth trading. My targets are around the 100-day and 200-day. These numbers will slightly change overtime, but as of right now the 100-day is 316.03 and the 200-day is 346.68. I'm also watching the tops of this bear market such as 314.56, 330.29, 347.87, 371.83. I'm watching to see if we get rejected at these levels or digest and break through them. For example, if we break through the 100-day, then I'll be expecting a test of the 200-day. If we break through 314.56, then I'll be expecting a test of 330.29. TSLA earnings were good considering all things. Earnings reactions and guidance will be key next week. There is also the chance that we have bottomed as well, so I'll stay in as long as the chart is healthy.
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Old 07-21-2022, 12:27 PM
 
Location: USA
1,078 posts, read 628,818 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bmw335xi View Post
As of right now, I'm still viewing this as a bear market rally. However, it is one worth trading. My targets are around the 100-day and 200-day. These numbers will slightly change overtime, but as of right now the 100-day is 316.03 and the 200-day is 346.68. I'm also watching the tops of this bear market such as 314.56, 330.29, 347.87, 371.83. I'm watching to see if we get rejected at these levels or digest and break through them. For example, if we break through the 100-day, then I'll be expecting a test of the 200-day. If we break through 314.56, then I'll be expecting a test of 330.29. TSLA earnings were good considering all things. Earnings reactions and guidance will be key next week. There is also the chance that we have bottomed as well, so I'll stay in as long as the chart is healthy.
Oh yes, this is very much a "prove it to me" rally. I'm looking for QQQ to break through 311.75, based on my monthly chart. I've also noted going back to the Covid rally, the 150-day SMA acted as support until January 2022. It then acted as resistance in March. So pushing through the 150 will be another key.

https://imgur.com/a/EfV5ZLl
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