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Old 01-03-2024, 08:26 AM
 
Location: East Coast of the United States
27,542 posts, read 28,630,498 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moguldreamer View Post
Yes. They might be right. They might be wrong.
The assumption is that certain politicians and other notable personalities have some kind of insider knowledge that there is going to be an explosive move upward in a particular stock. So, they load up on calls.

I suppose that is within the realm of possibility.

 
Old 01-03-2024, 08:34 AM
 
26,191 posts, read 21,568,036 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigCityDreamer View Post
The assumption is that certain politicians and other notable personalities have some kind of insider knowledge that there is going to be an explosive move upward in a particular stock. So, they load up on calls.

I suppose that is within the realm of possibility.
That’s absolutely possible just not limited to political figures

It’s also worth noting what Nancy’s husband has done for a living forever which could increase his exposure to options and insider information
 
Old 01-03-2024, 08:38 AM
 
7,724 posts, read 3,778,838 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by organic_donna View Post
I did well with my stocks last year, but having 75% of my investments in 6 stocks is starting to set off red flags.
As well it should.

Some people with concentrated portfolios will sell call options, also termed writing call options, as a method to generate some cash.

Let's say the price of a stock today is $100, but you are not willing to sell your stock for that price. However, you are willing to sell your stock for $110 - but no one is offering to buy your stock for $110.

But say you can sell an option to someone to buy your stock for $110 anytime between now and a year from now, and let's say that the counterparty pays you $8 to do so (I'm just making up numbers here).

So today, your account receives $8 of cash. And let's say that over the course of the coming year, the stock goes up and down, never going above 110, and then a year from today, the price of the stock is 105. The person who bought that option from you scrapes it off their balance shee (it is worthless)t, and you have an $8 profit for doing nothing whatsoever except waiting.

Again, a very simplified example just to illustrate the basic idea.

Of course, if the price of the stock in question goes up to, say $130, the counterparty will exercise their right and call away your stock for the price of $110. You have $110 plus the $8 you got up front.

Insert complexity, the time-value of money, variability of stock prices, etc, and numerous complications.
 
Old 01-03-2024, 08:46 AM
 
Location: Pennsylvania
31,340 posts, read 14,247,595 times
Reputation: 27861
No more predictions but Mr. Market is not off to a good start this year.
Thankfully bonds will carry me through what promises to be a chaotic year.
 
Old 01-03-2024, 08:58 AM
 
Location: East Coast of the United States
27,542 posts, read 28,630,498 times
Reputation: 25111
Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerGeek40 View Post
No more predictions but Mr. Market is not off to a good start this year.

Thankfully bonds will carry me through what promises to be a chaotic year.
The S&P 500 has been way above the 50 MA for several weeks now.

It is about time it takes a breather.
 
Old 01-03-2024, 09:12 AM
 
26,191 posts, read 21,568,036 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerGeek40 View Post
No more predictions but Mr. Market is not off to a good start this year.
Thankfully bonds will carry me through what promises to be a chaotic year.
Just keep rolling the bet, so long as you don’t hit table limits you will be right eventually



When you are wrong just say it, no reason to undercut as an “well it’s going to happen” you were wrong by an enormous margin. Just eat it
 
Old 01-03-2024, 09:18 AM
 
Location: Pennsylvania
31,340 posts, read 14,247,595 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lowexpectations View Post
Just keep rolling the bet, so long as you don’t hit table limits you will be right eventually



When you are wrong just say it, no reason to undercut as an “well it’s going to happen” you were wrong by an enormous margin. Just eat it
And yet the sun still came up this morning.
 
Old 01-03-2024, 09:28 AM
 
106,569 posts, read 108,713,667 times
Reputation: 80058
every year the market is chaotic..been that way forever …

the normal average length of time between declines of 5% or more in the S&P 500 is 104 days
 
Old 01-03-2024, 09:29 AM
 
18,042 posts, read 15,639,191 times
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LLY is up over 3% right now/today. I guess they got a new or updated buy signal.
 
Old 01-03-2024, 09:33 AM
 
37,590 posts, read 45,950,883 times
Reputation: 57142
Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerGeek40 View Post
No more predictions but Mr. Market is not off to a good start this year.
Thankfully bonds will carry me through what promises to be a chaotic year.
2 days in and you are already predicting the year. You just can't resist can you.
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