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Old 04-16-2012, 02:33 PM
 
26,504 posts, read 15,084,039 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kissthestick View Post
wow for it to be that close, doesnt this mean the women % is closer than we think.

wish gallup poll did a breakdown for that too today
The Gallup poll that showed Obama dominating the women voters in battleground states had 2 major flaws. #1 The women in the poll by nearly a 2 to 1 margin self-identified as registered Democrats as opposed to Republicans. In real life it is much closer than this...so their polling was flawed from the start. #2 What was overlooked, was that at pretty much the exact same time Gallup had a separate nationwide poll conducted where Romney was within the margin of error on Obama of women voters nationwide. It makes no sense that Obama would be surging in moderate swing states with women, while Romney was building momentum with women nationwide.

I pointed this out, but people still shrieked with joy anyways about how General Romney's war against women was leading to a record landslide in November.
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Old 04-16-2012, 02:39 PM
 
26,504 posts, read 15,084,039 times
Reputation: 14662
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kerby W-R View Post
Kerby W-R,
That bumper Sticker adds as much to the conversation as a bumper sticker that says "I Vote Democratic so I can get free stuff choosing to stay home."
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Old 04-16-2012, 02:59 PM
 
8,754 posts, read 10,171,305 times
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Quote:
Among the independent voters that will ultimately decide the race, Romney has a six-point lead, 45% to 39%, with 12% undecided.


This is the part that really stood out to me! I guess that Romney was down with Independents wasn't very reliable propaganda either. I highly doubt he is down with women voters either.

Where are all of the naysayers, who poo pooed the Fox and Rasumussen polls?
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Old 04-16-2012, 03:00 PM
 
10,875 posts, read 13,815,163 times
Reputation: 4896
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kerby W-R View Post
http://sphotos.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-prn1/s320x320/552853_387591381272130_174612345903369_1166979_215 345414_n.jpg (broken link)
*Insert standing ovation*
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Old 04-16-2012, 03:15 PM
 
665 posts, read 1,243,915 times
Reputation: 364
Since the general election is started how about we dont show polls with in the margin
of error it will make for redundant thread, its a statistical tie gallup has a 3 point margin of error
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Old 04-16-2012, 03:23 PM
 
Location: Gone
25,231 posts, read 16,944,857 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ptug101 View Post
Since the general election is started how about we dont show polls with in the margin
of error it will make for redundant thread, its a statistical tie gallup has a 3 point margin of error
The Dems have just begun with Mitt, give it month or two and by that time every woman, minority, dog lover, and person with an operational brain will be either taking a pass in November or voting for Obama.
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Old 04-16-2012, 03:38 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,956,928 times
Reputation: 7118
Quote:
Originally Posted by marcopolo View Post
The country no longer has the margin for error needed to survive more Obama governance.
Quite right..can you imagine what this lawless, shameless man would do without the shackles of running for election?

I was going to say I bet Gallup was shocked Romney leads obama at this point....but don't worry, they'll tilt the scales with that finger and probably have obama leading by the end of the week.
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Old 04-16-2012, 03:48 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,956,928 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BobKovacs View Post
So you post in your status bar "1980 poll: Carter 65%...Reagan 31%" as if to show that polls mean nothing regarding what actually happens come election time, but you're excited for some reason about a poll that shows Romney with a 2 point lead????
By Historic Standards, Obama Is In Trouble

Quote:
By Historic Standards, Obama Is In Trouble

Modern presidents who got re-elected were all leading in the polls at this point in their presidencies — as were some who lost anyway. Obama is in a statistical tie with Romney in the first Gallup daily tracking poll of the general election, and that might not be enough.
http://s3-ec.buzzfed.com/static/enha...34607895-9.jpg
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Old 04-16-2012, 04:56 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,956,928 times
Reputation: 7118
Quote:
Originally Posted by Casper in Dallas View Post
The Dems have just begun with Mitt, give it month or two and by that time every woman, minority, dog lover, and person with an operational brain will be either taking a pass in November or voting for Obama.
You don't think the same for obama...his miserable record, his broken promises, his lies?

Oh my, the harvest is plentiful on obama fodder.
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Old 04-16-2012, 05:08 PM
 
Location: Greater Washington, DC
1,347 posts, read 1,088,847 times
Reputation: 235
Quote:
Originally Posted by box_of_zip_disks View Post
Waiting for the usual Romney supporters to trot out their normal line about margins of error.
Yep, its within the margin of error - which proves what most (not all, but most) of us Romney supporters have been saying all along - that this will NOT be a blow-out election for Obama, and it will be a tight race, but we hope Romney comes out on top. I do think he will, but that may be optimistic thinking.

Even more interesting, here is the original source:
Romney, Obama in Tight Race as Gallup Daily Tracking Begins

Scroll down a bit, and you will see that Romney supporters are actually more likely to vote than Obama supporters. So much for that tired old line about conservatives staying home.

From the looks of this, who knows how this race will go from here. Neither candidate seems to have a statistically significant advantage.
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