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Old 08-04-2010, 12:51 AM
 
Location: Shadowridge. Vista
204 posts, read 642,055 times
Reputation: 90

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I think I'll land somewhere in the middle of the extremes on this thread. Theoretically in some markets, people incomes and property are supposed to correlate but in San Diego, it doesn't happen that way. People will always pay a good portion of their income to have a home in San Diego.

I have heard of some more resetting going on and the inventory has increased a touch. However, we have been able to weather the second storm pretty well so I don't think we'll see any large double digit dips. It may go down a little bit more but who knows how much more. It's been pretty stable since late 2008, even increasing a touch. I do think the higher range of houses has a little ways to go but I think the lower end of the market will stay more stable (the stuff people can really afford on a middle class income).

I definitely agree that people should wait until they are ready to buy. Buy a house you can comfortably stay in for 8-10 years (I'm a bit conservative).

The thing to remember is that you most likely cannot predict the bottom of the real estate market. Most likely when there's the bottom, you will realize it long after it has passed.
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Old 08-04-2010, 12:55 AM
 
Location: southern california
61,288 posts, read 87,441,267 times
Reputation: 55562
after the next crash which will come in 6 months. be prepared to pay cash, banks will be out of biz.
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Old 08-04-2010, 07:40 AM
 
274 posts, read 318,673 times
Reputation: 433
Quote:
Originally Posted by SDinsider View Post
Jon, don't be an ass to someone you dont know, just because you disagree on some forum. It just makes you look small.

Nobody really knows what the market will do in the future. All we can do it use historical data from other recessions, examine our economy, and make an educated guess. Since real estate is what I do for a living, I have my own opinions based on the data I watch every day. This moment in time is the very definition of a buyers market. If anyone wants a market analysis for a specific area, just pm me. I'll be glad to put that together for you. 1, 5, 10, or 20 year charts depending on your investment needs. You can always make a good, or a bad purchase no matter what the economy. Homework is the key imo. Good luck!
Wow, a Realtor saying now is a great time to buy a house, I better jump on board before I'm priced out forever! Thanks for the hot tip.
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Old 08-04-2010, 11:14 AM
 
Location: Verona, WI
1,201 posts, read 2,416,424 times
Reputation: 830
Quote:
Originally Posted by SDinsider View Post
You can always make a good, or a bad purchase no matter what the economy.
Totally true! Your head and your heart really need to work well together when purchasing a home, with probably a bit more head than heart these days.
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Old 08-04-2010, 12:50 PM
 
Location: La Jolla Ca
129 posts, read 340,797 times
Reputation: 55
Quote:
Originally Posted by blockzilla View Post
Wow, a Realtor saying now is a great time to buy a house, I better jump on board before I'm priced out forever! Thanks for the hot tip.
haha...I know the feeling. It's always easy to be a cynic when a mechanic says your flugelbinder is broken, or a politician promises to solve your problem, or a REALTOR advises to buy or sell. Did I just compare myself to a politician? Yikes! That's why you need to have a relationship with these professionals. No matter how much homework you do, you will still need to trust them at some point. Like when my mechanic said he put a new fuel sensor in because mine was irrepairable. Did he really just fix my sensor, and pocket my parts cost? Trustworthy people are like gold. Thats why referrals are SO important.
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Old 08-04-2010, 03:33 PM
 
Location: Calgary, AB
241 posts, read 713,293 times
Reputation: 141
Quote:
Originally Posted by SDinsider View Post
Jon, don't be an ass to someone you dont know, just because you disagree on some forum. It just makes you look small.

Nobody really knows what the market will do in the future. All we can do it use historical data from other recessions, examine our economy, and make an educated guess. Since real estate is what I do for a living, I have my own opinions based on the data I watch every day. This moment in time is the very definition of a buyers market. If anyone wants a market analysis for a specific area, just pm me. I'll be glad to put that together for you. 1, 5, 10, or 20 year charts depending on your investment needs. You can always make a good, or a bad purchase no matter what the economy. Homework is the key imo. Good luck!
You really should refine your spelling and grammar if you want to come across as a professional.
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Old 08-04-2010, 03:46 PM
 
Location: Brisbane, Australia
961 posts, read 2,567,023 times
Reputation: 213
Quote:
Originally Posted by blockzilla View Post
Wow, a Realtor saying now is a great time to buy a house, I better jump on board before I'm priced out forever! Thanks for the hot tip.
Seriously, we had better all find a property and jump on it right now!!! The NAR has announced a rebound so many times I feel like I am at a basketball game. Who takes them seriously?

This guy makes a lot of common sense points, I thought the OP might be interested in reading:
Housing Crash Continues -- It's Still A Terrible Time To Buy Housing Crash Continues
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Old 08-04-2010, 03:51 PM
 
Location: Brisbane, Australia
961 posts, read 2,567,023 times
Reputation: 213
Quote:
Originally Posted by SDinsider View Post
haha...I know the feeling. It's always easy to be a cynic when a mechanic says your flugelbinder is broken, or a politician promises to solve your problem, or a REALTOR advises to buy or sell. Did I just compare myself to a politician? Yikes! That's why you need to have a relationship with these professionals. No matter how much homework you do, you will still need to trust them at some point. Like when my mechanic said he put a new fuel sensor in because mine was irrepairable. Did he really just fix my sensor, and pocket my parts cost? Trustworthy people are like gold. Thats why referrals are SO important.
I wish I could believe this, but I have to disagree. Unless the relationship between the realtor and the client is family (and even then they might not be trustworthy), I would not trust them because the realtor stands to gain mometarily from you buying or selling. Greed will win out most of the time, especially in a slow market like this. Agents are desperate for sales because they have bills to pay too.
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Old 08-04-2010, 04:22 PM
 
Location: 92037
4,630 posts, read 10,277,162 times
Reputation: 1955
A REALTOR, newscast or blog should not be deciding on who buys or rents period. Every persons situation is different and every zip code is different. In this day and age with access to the internet, there is no excuse for not doing some of your own homework on making an informed decision.
Blanket statements about RE or the economy nationwide may be valid for the masses but if someone is asking whether or not its a good time to buy for themselves, then maybe posting it on a city-data forum is suspect.
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Old 08-04-2010, 06:38 PM
 
Location: Fresno
110 posts, read 295,162 times
Reputation: 112
My rule of thumb is to rent until buying is cheaper or the same cost. I won't pay a premium for the privilege of being stuck someplace, especially in a declining market.
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