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Old 05-27-2010, 04:07 PM
 
Location: Austin, TX
16,787 posts, read 49,083,166 times
Reputation: 9478

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Hurricane season begins June 1. This does not bode well. I hate to think of what an oily mess gulf coast beaches will be like after a hurricane blows through. It looks like chances are we will have more then usual for the season.

Quote:
US predicts up to 7 major Atlantic hurricanes (http://www.statesman.com/news/texas/us-predicts-up-to-7-major-atlantic-hurricanes-712275.html?srcTrk=RTR_661354 - broken link)

The Atlantic hurricane season will likely be a busy one that may spawn as many as 23 named tropical storms, including up to seven major hurricanes, a number that's not likely to be affected by the Gulf oil spill, the U.S. government said Thursday.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted that eight to 14 storms would strengthen into hurricanes, with top winds of 74 mph or higher. Three to seven of those could become major storms that reach Category 3 or higher — meaning they bring sustained winds of at least 111 mph.

"If this outlook holds true, this season could be one of the more active on record," NOAA administrator Jane Lubchenco said in a statement. "The greater likelihood of storms brings an increased risk of a landfall. In short, we urge everyone to be prepared."
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Old 05-27-2010, 05:24 PM
 
Location: Charleston Sc and Western NC
9,273 posts, read 26,503,633 times
Reputation: 4741
Last year was supposed to be a super active season too......nothing.
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Old 05-27-2010, 05:56 PM
 
Location: Austin, TX/Chicago, IL/Houston, TX/Washington, DC
10,138 posts, read 16,058,371 times
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I'm not underestimating this. Good idea to stock up on bottled water and food during the active months.
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Old 05-27-2010, 06:15 PM
 
Location: San Antonio, TX
3,542 posts, read 8,247,430 times
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Who cares how active a hurricane season is... it only takes 1 storm to do major damage to your house. Always prepare in coastal regions
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Old 05-31-2010, 11:09 AM
 
Location: Austin, TX
16,787 posts, read 49,083,166 times
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The National Hurricane Center has some interesting information regarding the effect of a hurricane on the oil spill. One of the few positive notes:

Quote:
What will the hurricane do to the oil slick in
the Gulf?
• The high winds and seas will mix and “weather”
the oil which can help accelerate the
biodegradation process.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/hurrican..._factsheet.pdf
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Old 05-31-2010, 11:49 PM
 
Location: Slaughter Creek, Travis County
1,194 posts, read 3,976,058 times
Reputation: 977
Pure speculation. We've never experienced such a spill and the oceanographic scientists are scratching their heads. This is bigger than the spill in Prince William Sound with the Exxon Valdez. NOAA is pharting speculations - their fact sheet has no real substantiation.
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Old 06-01-2010, 05:44 AM
 
Location: A little suburb of Houston
3,702 posts, read 18,219,237 times
Reputation: 2092
Quote:
Originally Posted by car957 View Post
Pure speculation. We've never experienced such a spill and the oceanographic scientists are scratching their heads. This is bigger than the spill in Prince William Sound with the Exxon Valdez. NOAA is pharting speculations - their fact sheet has no real substantiation.
I guess you are right in saying "we've" never experienced this, but I would point out the 1979 rig blow out in the Bay of Campeche as being very similar. That one went on for 9 months before it was capped and dumped plenty of oil.
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Old 06-01-2010, 06:35 AM
 
Location: Visitation between Wal-Mart & Home Depot
8,309 posts, read 38,787,526 times
Reputation: 7185
Quote:
Originally Posted by CptnRn View Post
Hurricane season begins June 1. This does not bode well. I hate to think of what an oily mess gulf coast beaches will be like after a hurricane blows through. It looks like chances are we will have more then usual for the season.
Actually, a hurricane dissipated the oil slick from Pemex's 1979 Ixtapa blowout (the worst blowout in history) to the point of being undetectable.

A hurricane coming ashore between Louisiana and Florida might not be such a bad thing (from an oil spill perspective anyway).
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Old 06-01-2010, 11:55 AM
 
Location: God's Country
23,019 posts, read 34,393,868 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EasilyAmused View Post
Last year was supposed to be a super active season too......nothing.
Actually last year was predicted to be a quit season and it was. But I put no faith in weathermen anymore, like Anthony said it only takes one hitting your area to make a bad season, prepare for the worst and hope for the best.
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