What are the odds that Obama will extended EUC at the end of the year? (extension, payment)

[calialley]

Anyone have any guesses? I checked for articles on the web, and it seems to be leaning towards them being extended again.

[billyd212121]

I think so from what I read but my question is, does he need Congress to do it or can he do it by himself? If needs Congress to do it, I'm not going to sleep for the next 2 months.

[Ariadne22]

Funding is a House matter. For the past two years, Senate/House argue every year-end on benefit extensions. Previous to that, they'd only extend for a few months at a time, benefits have also lapsed during those periods for four-six weeks, which creates a big mess for the states when they'd have to reprogram their computers for reinstatement of benefits.

It is up to Congress.

[jhoffschein]

What are the chances they'll reinstate Tier 4 in California? 0, I'm guessing, but I heard the unemployment rate has gone up.

[billyd212121]

What as the date in 2012 when Congress approved of the extension for 2013?

[calialley]

I think it was the first week of January when they got reinstated for this current year.

[Ariadne22]

Originally Posted by calialley

I think it was the first week of January when they got reinstated for this current year.

Yes, you are correct. In 2012, we had the big fiscal cliff battle which delayed any final legislation until Jan. 2, 2013. Permanent sunset of the Bush tax cuts was the big fight, then. President Obama did not leave the White House until those issues were resolved (PL 112-240). Democrats finally had some leverage on those tax cuts as President Obama had just been reelected.

Previous year, around Thanksgiving 2011, Congress temporarily extended benefits expiring in December into Feb. 2012 when final legislation could be hammered out. EB was permanently phased out with that 2011/2012 short-term extension legislation, reaffirmed with final legislation in Feb. 2012, extending benefits to EOY 2012, in addition to cuts to length of EUC and increase in EUC triggers. This legislation, for the first time, enacted a hard cut-off of all federal benefit payments on 12/29/2012.

Previous year, in 2010, short-term extension enacted around Christmas, extended benefits into 2011 for a short while.

It's always a nail-biter with much back and forth between the parties. Current intransigence of the hard-right - worse than the previous two years - should make this another interesting year-end.

[jhoffschein]

Ariadne, I give you 1000 points, not only for helping all of us with our million EDD questions, but also for using the word "intransigence."