Fall 2013 Thread — Northern Hemisphere (Mediterranean, climate, snow, warm)

[chicagogeorge]

Only a small difference between the Euro and GFS 500 mb at 240 hours out

[Kalinouski]

[alex985]

Originally Posted by nei

Wish I could get weather that warm.

We should trade places, even though it was only 67 F today felt uncomfortably warm for me at times in the sun, way too warm for November.

[Mac15]

YAYA! First snow next week!

[Cambium]

6:20am temps in Eastern U.S. Low 30s into Georgia and SC. Only 2nd time below freezing for me.

[Cambium]

For those that read my posts on the CT Weather thread I apologize for posting some things twice. Sometimes my posts are for a larger area and I know more folks are in here for that.

Mid Week Storm Update::
Some folks will try to continue to use "hope" for this storm that was shown. No models show it now so moving on. Hand it to the GFS for showing up the Euro this time.

Consistancy was key so when Euro was consistently showing it we couldn't ignore it. But GFS was consistently showing nothing. So when Euro went to the GFS idea it was over.

Now all models consistently showing nothing even though we're still 4-5 days away. They are picking up the fact that there wont be any phase of the Jets this time and no closed low. Nice to see agreement this far out.

However, get ready for some white stuff Tuesday morning along the Arctic front..... or will it? At this point with the drought we have on hand in this area the NAM might be the right one to believe.

GFS says a strip of light snow from TN Valley to New England along the front Tues morn. NAM shows more dry air around. Either way... it's going to get very cold mid week.

[dhdh]

Running average of 12.6/20.3°C for November 2013 in Nice. And the temperature hasn't dropped below 9°C so far this season.

And we are north of Toronto. I'll never stop being amazed by this climate.

[chicagogeorge]

[Cambium]

Snow to NorthCountry in the East from a Clipper system passing through.

WPC says 95% chance of 6-10" for higher elevations.

[mar89]

Strong winds are forecasted for Sunday evening and Monday night/morning in Italy, associated to a cold air outbreak from Northwestern Europe. Cold air mainly flow towards Italy and the Mediterreanean through Postojna Valley in Slovenia and some minor croatian valleys.
Note the Mistral wind on the Ligurian Sea and the Bora wind on the Upper Adriatic.

Heavy rainfall amounts are expected in the regions of Romagna, Marche, Abruzzo and Molise, especially in the Apennines due to orographic lifting. Main peaks of the central Apennines will probably get the first snow of the season.
Along Rimini's coastline winds are going to blow up to 100 km/h (62 mph, grey color), producing a storm surge (I hope not!).



Image from MeteoLive.it