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For my area .... eastern North Dakota and northwestern Minnesota.... been a pretty good summer overall. Temperatures a bit below average and only one period of very humid weather with dew points in the 70s. Past few days been seeing highs close to 80 and lows in the 50s, which is fine in early August. Crops overall this season doing quite well....the lack of extreme heat so far helping to keep stress levels down on crops during our current dry spell.
We're not supposed to be seeing the 0C line showing up anywhere on the map yet.
This is long range GFS but still... it's not supposed to be showing up. This is telling me the pattern is continuing and the Polar Jet Stream continues to dip in the East. Lots of factors involved why. MJO in Phase 2 like ChicagoGeorge showed last week. Pacific Ridge not budging. EPO is negative. Stratosphere. Sun Spots. Ect.
This was nice to see. Made me feel at home just seeing it showing up (winter).
Not my words but I agree... Doesn't mean you can't get lucky with 1 or 2 more 90s in this pattern but it's not looking good for it.(excluding south of Latitude 38°N (Virginia/Kentucky)
"The bias-corrected GFS ENS shows a very cool pattern 8/16 to 8/20 period. If true, worst of summer is over for many"
Too bad this is soon over. The warmth/heat should stay with us for a week still, but after a month it's already 5 September, and from that it will be just steep downhill. But hope we can take advantage of the warm sea, and have a mild transition. Not like the one last year when temps were halved in the last week of September.
Last year's September was about 1,5°C warmer than average here so for once we agree, I wouldn't want that to repeat either. Our transitions are already mild though, autumn stretches on forever.
Our local weather blog depicts modest warming during that time frame.
Interesting.. I haven't followed the models lately so maybe it was just one run? I have to clarify what "I agree" on... I meant if that scenario does happen its over. Because we are supposed to be warming up mid-late August and if that happens it just means the heat has no say in the pattern and I don't think we see heat waves until next year.
So lets see what the models show today for that time frame..
Really I shouldn't be complaining because today's forecast calls for 86/66 when the average is 85/67. Normal for all intents and purposes. But with the recent cooler weather, it just feels too hot! Hotter than it should be, for sure. But it looks like another cold front is coming, since tomorrow will bring more storms, and after that highs in the lower 80s and lows in the lower 60s until at least Monday! And sunny. Looks like a great weekend for outdoor activities.
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