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Nope... Still don't see it. Everytime GFS hints at frost or freeze or any kind of cold in this area or northeast its taken away followed by mutiple updates showing warmth continuing. So now we're going to mid October without a threat.
Of course anything can change past 10 days but man am I getting nervous.
A larger area of central and northern New England has seen a frost of freeze, however. Pattern seems slow to shift colder air east in the longer-range due to trough building in Gulf of AK as wet season precip increases there.
If continued warmth means a cold wet winter for California Im all for it, despite the fact Im with you, Id like to experience some cold eastern temps, not Palm Desert East lol. I was floored at just how much of the nation's food supply comes from the Central Valley.
For tomorrow the thinking remains similar to the previous forecast. It still looks like a line of showers and a few thunderstorms will develop somewhere across central KY along a deformation axis. Despite increasing moisture, the models continue to depict a mid level dry layer, so think coverage of measurable precipitation will be limited. Thus, pops were kept in the 20-30% range over central Kentucky and lower or dry across southern Indiana. Rain chances look to diminish tomorrow evening and have kept the forecast dry after midnight tomorrow. Highs tomorrow will be in the lower 80s with lows tomorrow night in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
58° at the summit. Going to be a hot day up there at 8 30
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