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Looks like Europe has a good chance of some cold spilling in in the coming days
If the GFS is right, mid December will not be warm in fact, I think we will see another Arctic outbreak. If the Euro track is right, then I'm in for a lame month
Last edited by chicagogeorge; 12-02-2014 at 09:44 PM..
7am. Current 850mb temps (shaded colors) & surface temps (#s).
Portland Maine wind chill in the teens while its 50s on the MA Capes!
Anyone who's temp is below 33°F south of that purple line with moisture around is freezing rain.
Someone reply to Joe that he needs glasses. That is showing mostly high elevation snows. Thats the best it gets. 1-2" for everyone else is garbage and not worth getting excited over. Also... thats fantasy range of the Canadian.
We'll see. Lots can change including the typhoon in Pacific influencing snows to the east coast next week. Models do not injest data from that area of pacific yet.
But ... yes.. we shouldnt look at location details yet.. the fact that snow is being shown is good enough at this point
Someone reply to Joe that he needs glasses. That is showing mostly high elevation snows. Thats the best it gets. 1-2" for everyone else is garbage and not worth getting excited over. Also... thats fantasy range of the Canadian.
We'll see. Lots can change including the typhoon in Pacific influencing snows to the east coast next week. Models do not injest data from that area of pacific yet.
But ... yes.. we shouldnt look at location details yet.. the fact that snow is being shown is good enough at this point
That is the big wild card. If that typhoon recurves north it will completely make all the medium range forecasts calling for a blow torch null and void. If that typhoon proceeds west into Southeast Asia, then the torch is on....
This "huge warm-up" looks more like an average pattern than anything else - 5F above, which is about as above average as most of the East is getting on a sustained basis, is not much of a departure, especially considering that we're in zonal flow. This looks like a garden-variety 1-2 week relaxation to me, hardly a blowtorch, after which we will see a reversion to the cold/snowy pattern.
This time last year we were staring down a January blowtorch and this month 4 years ago we were staring down a zonal pattern for January. Sometimes these patterns do flip but I think most people here are being very much overly pessimistic 10+ days out.
Last edited by Patricius Maximus; 12-03-2014 at 06:08 AM..
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50s this morning on the capes?
