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Old 12-06-2014, 03:44 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,578 posts, read 75,534,036 times
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Old 12-06-2014, 05:39 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,578 posts, read 75,534,036 times
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GFS track.

You will have a hard time finding an alalog for this. What you will witness on Tues-Wednesday is not something we see or maybe have seen in half a century or more.
Makes you fall in love with weather all over again.

And when an upper level low catches a coastal storm (like Sandy) its just special to watch.

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Old 12-06-2014, 06:10 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,578 posts, read 75,534,036 times
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Take it back.. Found a similar scenario December 2003 but no where near the same storm track. Just an Upper Low that caught a storm which was over the interior.

NARR MAP SEQUENCE FOR 12/26/2003/

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Old 12-06-2014, 06:11 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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And Christmas 1994. Coastal Storm and Upper Low.

NARR MAP SEQUENCE FOR 12/25/1994/

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Old 12-07-2014, 04:55 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,578 posts, read 75,534,036 times
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See it? The players are on the field now except the coastal storm hasn't even formed. Another incredible thing... That front/storm off the coast right now that gave me 30hrs of straight rain is leaving... the coastal storm starts forming today. All the energy meets up on Tuesday-Wednesday.

Absolutely fascinating! Timing is amazing to watch!

And How did the Euro and Canadian model see this a week ago???

That circle over Montana is the Upper Level Low which will be the key player in the snow.

The circle over New Mexico is the Sub Tropical Jet Stream which will be the key in supplying Pacific and Gulf moisture

The circle over the Atlantic will be the developing surface storm which will be key to keep things "spinning"



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Old 12-07-2014, 07:52 AM
 
29,575 posts, read 19,677,898 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post

And How did the Euro and Canadian model see this a week ago???




The UK Met model also picked it up days ago, while the American GFS was asleep....




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Old 12-07-2014, 07:57 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,578 posts, read 75,534,036 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
The UK Met model also picked it up days ago, while the American GFS was asleep....
Yup, Chinese and Japanese as well. Comes at a good time when it's now official that China has the biggest world economy. U.S #2.

Anyway ... Check out the latest NAM for NYC Wed 10am

Looks like snow to me. Few hours of it too

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Old 12-07-2014, 08:21 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,578 posts, read 75,534,036 times
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Pick a loop!



High Stakes Forecast : CapeCodWeather.Net
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Old 12-07-2014, 09:04 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,578 posts, read 75,534,036 times
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This image gets snow lovers giddy..

GFS12z for Wednesday afternoon. If only this wasnt after the storm winds down & precip dries up. 995mb over RI with cold air wrapped around.. daaammm.

Oh well. I still think we see change to snow Wednesday morning. Nothing a threat.

Vermont will even see a change to rain from this one.

Cold air wrapping around the storm is good but not after the fact. Too much dry air is never good

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Old 12-07-2014, 11:34 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,578 posts, read 75,534,036 times
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From NWS State College, PA. Look at those tracks! The Euro stops and goes south at one point.

https://www.facebook.com/NWSStateCol...type=1&theater

"It's becoming apparent that a major storm will affect much of the Mid Atlantic up into Southern New England this upcoming week. The chart shows the storm tracks from 4 of our forecast models (the forecast location on Tuesday morning is labeled with dots representing the forecast position expected for every 6 hours thereafter). They are all coming into line with a storm moving just off the coast and are even starting to agree that it will slow down and possibly do a "loop" anywhere from the NJ coast to around Block Island RI. Normally a track this close to the coast would get us excited that a significant winter storm is in store for most of the region, but this storm is unusually complicated. The first complication is that the upper system that will capture this storm and cause the eccentric path will be initially broken up into several pieces that may limit how far back into central and western Pa the precipitation can develop. The second complication is that the air associated with the storm is expected to be only marginally cold enough for snow, so much of the storm could be a rain-sleet-snow mix the further east and south you are on the map. This one will definitely provide more than the usual number of challenges, so stay tuned to all the latest updates"




Man o Man why couldn't this be all snow for everyone.
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