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Old 11-04-2020, 03:39 AM
 
29,505 posts, read 19,602,720 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Warm & Dry is the theme now for this area being inside the ridge next 7 days.

This is what I mean when I said "we need the right axis of the trough off the coast and the base south of DC"

Blizzard happening in Montana this weekend

https://twitter.com/breakingweather/...82710524461057


You ain't kidding. Both IKK and MDW hit70F yesterday while ORD topped out at 69F. Look at this forecast for the next seven days at ORD. Six straight days of 70s..

Avg high/low on Nov. 4th at ORD is 54/37F and on Nov. 10th it's 51/35F




https://twitter.com/Skilling/status/...727669248?s=20

Last edited by chicagogeorge; 11-04-2020 at 03:59 AM..
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Old 11-04-2020, 04:02 AM
 
Location: Live:Downtown Phoenix, AZ/Work:Greater Los Angeles, CA
27,606 posts, read 14,587,616 times
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68°F as of 4am. Heading to a near record high of 93°F today. Standing record is 95°F, set in 2001

Averages are 82°F/59°F today
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Old 11-04-2020, 04:26 AM
 
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60f here and the temps start screaming back up after today. I pray we get some tropical action next week, but after a 1000 storms this year and no hits i have given up. Steering winds north of Cuba will be weak so it can do anything at this time.
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Old 11-04-2020, 04:40 AM
 
Location: Boilermaker Territory
26,404 posts, read 46,544,081 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
You ain't kidding. Both IKK and MDW hit70F yesterday while ORD topped out at 69F. Look at this forecast for the next seven days at ORD. Six straight days of 70s..

Avg high/low on Nov. 4th at ORD is 54/37F and on Nov. 10th it's 51/35F




https://twitter.com/Skilling/status/...727669248?s=20
Zero surprises, most of November will be extremely warm, latest forecasts for NAO, AO, and PNA all continue the same overall theme for the next two weeks. La Nina also presents itself the closer the winter approaches with the overall jet stream scenarios. It appears that the Northwest will start to see excessive precipitation events.
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Old 11-04-2020, 07:16 AM
 
Location: Northern Virginia
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It feels like D.C. is always either just a bit north or just a bit south of the jet in these winter scenarios. Makes such a difference. Low 40s/high 30s north of the jet, high 60s/low 70s south of the jet. In mid January it'd be in the teens north of it while still mild 60s south of it.
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Old 11-04-2020, 07:41 AM
 
Location: Victoria, BC, Canada
5,722 posts, read 3,504,425 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Warm & Dry is the theme now for this area being inside the ridge next 7 days.

This is what I mean when I said "we need the right axis of the trough off the coast and the base south of DC"

Blizzard happening in Montana this weekend

https://twitter.com/breakingweather/...82710524461057
You beat me to it.

Yep, a Colorado low will form and move northeast bringing blizzard or winter storm conditions to Montana, southern Alberta, and much of Saskatchewan.

Quote:
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK...THE LONGER RANGE MODELS BRING A COLORADO LOW THROUGH THE PRAIRIES THIS WEEKEND. RAIN, FREEZING RAIN, HEAVY SNOW, AND STRONG WINDS SHOULD BE EXPECTED. THERE SEEMS TO BE MORE OF A CONCENSUS WITH THE MODEL SOLUTIONS AS THE MODELS ARE CONVERGING ON THE ECMWF SOLUTION...WHICH ORIGINALLY WAS THE OUTLIER. MODELS ARE PLACING THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL ALONG A SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST DEF ZONE STRETCHING ACROSS THE ENTIRE PRAIRIES. IN GENERAL THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG AN AXIS EXTENDING FROM SOUTHWEST SASKATCHEWAN AND SOUTHEASTERN ALBERTA NORTHEASTWARD TO WEST CENTRAL MANITOBA INTO NORTHEASTERN MANITOBA. SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY WITH 30-50 CM POSSIBLE RIGHT ALONG THE DEF ZONE BOUNDARY.
Source: https://kamala.cod.edu/Canada/latest.focn45.CWWG.html


Source: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/

Early snowfall totals from the GFS were out to lunch; they've since come back to reality. Here's what GEM has to say.

Source: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:07 AM
 
Location: Fishers, IN
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According to the Indy NWS, this upcoming string of 70F weather will be one of the longest on record in November, even if we don't look to break any record highs. Hopefully it doesn't make my grass continue growing. I'm ready to end mowing season!
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Old 11-04-2020, 10:14 AM
 
Location: Boilermaker Territory
26,404 posts, read 46,544,081 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ischyros View Post
According to the Indy NWS, this upcoming string of 70F weather will be one of the longest on record in November, even if we don't look to break any record highs. Hopefully it doesn't make my grass continue growing. I'm ready to end mowing season!
I predicted this at least a week ago. Expect well above average to record warm high temperatures for most areas east of the Mississippi River. The gradual cooling trend won't begin until the middle of next week, and nothing very exciting. The West gets quite a push of precipitation events with colder than average temperatures, much needed for them.
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Old 11-04-2020, 11:19 AM
 
Location: Buenos Aires and La Plata, ARG
2,946 posts, read 2,914,264 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ed's Mountain View Post
I took some time off while the palm debacle played out so my apologies if this is a dupe.

Incredibly hot weather in Alberta yesterday thanks to a reverse west windflow. At least 25 new record high temperatures set, including 25.9 °C in Bassano and Drumheller which is likely to be a monthly record for the entire province.

Full list of records here: https://weather.gc.ca/warnings/weath...ries_e.html#AB

Meanwhile an historic snowstorm in the Yukon with blizzard conditions in some places. Whitehorse has been snowed under.


Source: https://www.whitehorsestar.com/News/...-his-disbelief
Meanwhile in SW Canada several monthly records: 25.9ºC in Bassano and Drumheller, Alberta

Quote:
Originally Posted by forgotten username View Post
15c with a 13c dewpoint here today. Typical early november crap weather. Overcast with mist of course.
I saw the Atalanta-Liverpool. At least on a football pitch level it looks nice
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Old 11-04-2020, 11:25 AM
 
Location: Atlanta
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Not as cold this morning. Only upper 30s. Already warmed up to near 70. Gonna be really nice. Forecasted low of 65 next Wednesday morning which is crazy.
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