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Old 02-26-2024, 04:43 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Warm here too in the 50s. Tulips will get another boost
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Old 02-26-2024, 05:12 AM
 
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Only two days below average for the entire month so far. Could we ever see this happening in the summer months?




Obviously almost no snow fall this month



and hardly any Great Lakes ice. Maybe this will minimize the "winds off the lake" impacts this spring when the city and immediate suburbs can be much cooler than the rest of the area if winds come in from the east.


I could hit 70F today



and Tuesday may challenge the all time warmest temperature for the month of February if this model is right. Are you serious 84F in Springfield and 86F/30C in St Louis??



But I guess that would depend on the timing and coverage of the storms









Link
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Old 02-26-2024, 06:44 AM
 
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Lots of Southeast US heat monitoring today but once again Texas is king. Some scorching mid 30s are going to be as far north as Dallas and Fort Worth and have overtaken West Texas.
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Old 02-26-2024, 07:32 AM
 
Location: New York Area
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SFX View Post
China, Siberia and Alaska stole all the cold



Haha


Just kidding. This extreme and unusual cold is just more evidence of how warm the winter has been.

This rare meteorological event is a stark reminder of the unpredictable nature of climate change and its capability to alter weather patterns in historically temperate regions.
As for climate change the important thing to note is that it is brutally cold somewhere. In this winter's case, in general, the jet stream's northern branch (split jet because of El Niño) has penned the cold air up north,where it is brutally cold. Asia has been brutally cold, and that is where the jet stream is dipping. The climate change artists will say that is because of "climate change." In other winters, the Western Hemisphere has been treated to a plunging jet stream and polar vortex. Think January 2014, March 2015, December/January 1976-7. In yet other winters Britain and Europe have gotten the treatment. Think January/February 1947 and December 2009. In yet other winters, the U.S. West and Texas have gotten nailed. Think February 2021 and a thread I OP'd, Global "weirding" - formerly known as "global warming". The Opening Post says it all. An excerpt: "In today's New York Times, there is an article about the contradiction between the alleged trend towards warmer winters and what is happening in the real world. The article, Southern states are hit hard by icy conditions and power losses, comes up with new lingo, 'global weirding.'"

It is easy to get caught up in panic when looking out your window it's a bit unusual. Sort of like "Chicken Little," since acorns aren't always falling on its head.
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Old 02-26-2024, 07:35 AM
 
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From possible mid 70 degree highs on Tuesday to snow on Wednesday

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Old 02-26-2024, 07:50 AM
 
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Someone asked if the summer temps would be mostly above average here in North Illinois. Judging from last year, probably not. We don't seem to get that much heat here. Temps are mostly 70s and 80s. 90s are not the norm although it happens time to time. Last yr we had like 2 days where it hit 100 or was near. The heat index was over 110 now that was insane!
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Old 02-26-2024, 07:53 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
From possible mid 70 degree highs on Tuesday to snow on Wednesday
Yeah I never lived in a place where temperatures are so all over the place like CHicago. 70s one day to 30s and snow the very next day is outrageous. I have a feeling with all this warmth we will get a 2nd winter in March or April when its supposed to be warmer. It happened in 2022 when it was gloomy and cold all spring. The trees didn't fully leaf out until 2nd week of May. Smh
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Old 02-26-2024, 08:17 AM
 
Location: Centre Wellington, ON
5,901 posts, read 6,109,153 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Only two days below average for the entire month so far. Could we ever see this happening in the summer months?




Obviously almost no snow fall this month



and hardly any Great Lakes ice. Maybe this will minimize the "winds off the lake" impacts this spring when the city and immediate suburbs can be much cooler than the rest of the area if winds come in from the east.


I could hit 70F today



and Tuesday may challenge the all time warmest temperature for the month of February if this model is right. Are you serious 84F in Springfield and 86F/30C in St Louis??



But I guess that would depend on the timing and coverage of the storms









Link
Hopefully the heat doesn't cause to much premature leafing out/flowering of plants that can't handle cold because the Midwest will almost certainly still get more hard frosts...

Lake temperatures are at record warmth levels for this time of year, but not all analog years were able to maintain warm water temperatures into spring.

2002: near record warm winter waters, returning to average by late March, and falling below average in May
2012: near record warm winter waters, continuing with near record warm water through spring and well into summer
2017: near record warm winter waters, remaining above average into early spring, but returning to average by late spring and summer.

Monthly air temperature means in Sarnia

February
Avg: 25.3F
2002: 30.0F (+4.7F)
2012: 31.8F (+6.5F)
2017: 34.5F (+9.2F)
2024: ~34.5F (+9.2F) *includes forecast temperatures through the 29th, MTD mean temp is 33.4F through the 25th

March
Avg: 33.1F
2002: 32.5F (-0.6F)
2012: 46.2F (+13.1F)
2017: 33.4F (+0.3F)

April
Avg: 44.4F
2002: 45.3F (+0.9F)
2012: 44.1F (-0.3F)
2017: 48.7F (+4.3F)

May
Avg: 54.9F
2002: 51.3F (-3.6F)
2012: 59.9F (+5.0F)
2017: 54.7F (-0.2F)

June
Avg: 64.8F
2002: 66.6F (+1.8F)
2012: 68.4F (+3.6F)
2017: 67.8F (+3.0F)

With the current forecast for March, it does seem like we might be heading more towards a 2012/2017 trajectory than a 2002 trajectory, but we'll see.

Average of 2002/2012/2017
March: +4.3F
April: +1.6F
May: +0.4F
June: +2.8F
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Old 02-26-2024, 08:37 AM
 
Location: Markham, Ontario
585 posts, read 245,750 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by yrageel529 View Post
Yeah I never lived in a place where temperatures are so all over the place like CHicago. 70s one day to 30s and snow the very next day is outrageous. I have a feeling with all this warmth we will get a 2nd winter in March or April when its supposed to be warmer. It happened in 2022 when it was gloomy and cold all spring. The trees didn't fully leaf out until 2nd week of May. Smh
Oh please god no. That was a horrible Spring around here.

I'm hoping for a Spring similar to 2010 or 2012 with warmth and dryness dominating.
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Old 02-26-2024, 08:44 AM
 
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Mid 90s in Texas today....




then a cool down later in the week before another warm surge

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