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Old 04-08-2024, 05:14 AM
 
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Old 04-08-2024, 07:37 AM
 
Location: Centre Wellington, ON
5,890 posts, read 6,093,260 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ryankong2010 View Post
In Tromso Norway, April began with a cold snap. After six days with no days above freezing, the last time this happened was in April 1990, when a daily cold record was broken on the second - (POR 1867).
Not sure if we've ever had more than a couple days below freezing here in April, it tends to be pretty consistently mild by this point. We are at a quite a bit lower latitude though, so although winter weather might be similar due to the jet stream being more dominant than the weak winter sun, in April, our climate starts to diverge significantly from Tromso's.

Looking back and checking - many years we don't get a single day that fails to exceed 0C. Longest stretch in the past two decades was in 2007 with four days. I'd have to look at other stations further away for older records since my station only goes back to 2004.

Last April days below 0C

April 1, 2021 (-0.3C)
April 1, 2019 (-0.1C)
April 17, 2018 (-0.8C)
April 8, 2018 (-0.9C)
April 7, 2018 (-2.6C)
April 5, 2018 (-0.4C)
April 1, 2018 (0.0C)
April 9, 2016 (-2.8C)
April 5, 2016 (-1.5C)
April 4, 2016 (-4.8C)
April 3, 2016 (-3.5C)
April 23, 2015 (-0.5C)
April 15, 2014 (-2.0C)
April 3, 2013 (-0.8C)
April 2, 2013 (-0.3C)
April 7, 2009 (-3.0C)
April 8, 2007 (-2.5C)
April 7, 2007 (-4.8C)
April 6, 2007 (-6.1C)
April 5, 2007 (-5.5C)
April 4, 2004 (-1.6C)
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Old 04-08-2024, 08:33 AM
 
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ECMWF shows about normal for the back half of April






but the CPC is showing odds of above normal temps





Btw, Eric Snodgrass' summer analogs



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hzks0cnDD3w

Last edited by chicagogeorge; 04-08-2024 at 08:41 AM..
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Old 04-08-2024, 09:46 AM
 
30,421 posts, read 21,228,470 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post








ECMWF shows about normal for the back half of April






but the CPC is showing odds of above normal temps





Btw, Eric Snodgrass' summer analogs




https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hzks0cnDD3w
Count in me for door number 3 for another dry summer with a west flow the whole time.
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Old 04-08-2024, 01:15 PM
 
Location: Kocaeli, Turkey
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Hottest Highs in Turkey today:

Somewhere in Muğla Province had the hottest high in Turkey today with 28.4°C.




Coldest Highs in Turkey today:

Station in Palandöken Mountain of Erzurum (elevation: 3148 meters) had the coldest high in Turkey today with -1°C.

The same station had had the coldest low in Turkey today with -4.7°C (little diurnal range)




Highs in Ardahan Province today (from coldest to warmest):

Göle had a high of +4.3°C today while Ardahan had a high of +6.3°C.


Last edited by The Grandeur; 04-08-2024 at 02:10 PM..
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Old 04-08-2024, 02:09 PM
 
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May's forecast from the CFSv2 and the Euro

CFS shows near normal temps and wet while the Euro shows above normal temps and near normal precip

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Old 04-08-2024, 03:50 PM
 
Location: Centre Wellington, ON
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Yeah, it's starting to look like it's going to be a pretty warm spring. No torch heat waves on the horizon this April like in 2023, just consistently normal to above normal temperatures this April from the looks of it.

That "cold blast" at the start of the month wasn't that cold in the end, the coldest day was only 2.4F below normal daily means, and the current long term forecast doesn't have a single day below normal.

Tomorrow might be the most above normal day of the month, it's forecast to have a high/low of 68/41F, which is 16.3F above normal, that's hot, but nothing crazy considering temperature rollercoasters are the norm in the spring. The daily record (1940-2023) is 70F, so there might be a small chance at beating it.

The month as a whole is tracking towards about 2.4F above normal.
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Old 04-08-2024, 04:49 PM
 
30,421 posts, read 21,228,470 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
May's forecast from the CFSv2 and the Euro

CFS shows near normal temps and wet while the Euro shows above normal temps and near normal precip
May will be record dry for my area.
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Old 04-09-2024, 02:08 AM
 
Location: Kocaeli, Turkey
3,172 posts, read 1,273,154 times
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Coldest Lows in Turkey today:

Village Station in Çaldıran District had the coldest low in Turkey today with -4.3°C

District Center of Çaldıran had a low of -3.2°C




Lows in Ardahan Province today:

Göle had a low of -0.7°C today while Ardahan had a low of +3.1°C

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Old 04-09-2024, 09:14 AM
 
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High temp was 73F here and at Midway. ORD hit 71F yesterday.






Forecast update. Not bad today and tomorrow

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