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Old 10-11-2012, 10:28 PM
 
15,355 posts, read 12,648,053 times
Reputation: 7571

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Quote:
Originally Posted by tread102 View Post
Its over here in NC. It will be Romney by at least 4 to 5 points. 08 was historic in the turnout for the Democrats. Now here is the deal for all you democrats. Be honest you don't feel like you did in 08. I know Felt will blow some smoke, but there are tons of polls showing the republicans are almost enthusiastic as the democrats in 08. You can argue all night who is going to win, but its clear that in a state that Obama carried by less than a point in 08, he doesn't stand a chance this year. Ok felt this is where you say its the same as 08
I guess you didn't read 2 pages back when I wrote:
I don't think Dem registration numbers mean it's all Obama... but the DEMS did a great job registering a ton of voters in 2008.

Maybe they won't vote this time around because the "history in the making" has worn off but Mitt is far from likable... I can't see a bunch of Southern Christians voting for a Mormon.

But feel free to keep telling me what I think... lol.

 
Old 10-11-2012, 10:46 PM
 
6,319 posts, read 10,342,588 times
Reputation: 3835
Quote:
Originally Posted by stlterp View Post
I think that Obama will have a very hard time holding onto to NC...but if the state was already locked up for Romney, why would he be in Asheville tonight?
Didn't you hear, the Obamas only go to Asheville because Michelle likes it there.
 
Old 10-12-2012, 03:38 AM
 
3,914 posts, read 4,973,504 times
Reputation: 1272
Quote:
Originally Posted by GoPhils View Post
Didn't you hear, the Obamas only go to Asheville because Michelle likes it there.
????!!!! The statement has nothing to do about the Obamas. He is referring Romney going to Asheville.

--------------------------------------------

Speaking of that visit to Asheville....

Romney gave a speech to a huge crowd standing room only crowd in the US Cellular Center arena. I'd say this doesn't bode well for the Obamas whether they like Asheville or not as in 2008 Buncombe county was one of only 3 western NC counties to go for Obama. All things being equal with 2008, losing just this county would cost Obama the election in NC.
 
Old 10-12-2012, 04:51 AM
 
Location: Greer
2,213 posts, read 2,843,672 times
Reputation: 1737
Quote:
Originally Posted by frewroad View Post
Never claimed otherwise. I wasn't conducting a poll. However one of the companies that does, has already called it.
Another polling agency, one that people have actually heard of, has Romney/Ryan with a 3 percentage point lead, in a poll with a 4.5 percent margin of error.

Election 2012: North Carolina President - Rasmussen Reports™

It's anyone's game.
 
Old 10-12-2012, 05:08 AM
 
3,866 posts, read 4,278,029 times
Reputation: 4532
Well, one thing for sure, I never thought NC would trend towards blue or become anything close to a "swing" state. Given the demographic shifts and forward looking trend, it seemingly will continue in this direction. The thought of growing southern states like VA and NC being far from reliable "red" has to rattle some GOP faithful peeking way down the road.
 
Old 10-12-2012, 05:13 AM
 
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Hmm. NC has been controlled until recently by the democratic party for close to 100 years the trend is away from that so I'd say it's the democrats that need to be doing some worrying. Even with that said, in this state, Democrats like to vote for GOP presidents.

What should worry both parties is the very large rise if people registering as independents in this state. it was once unheard of.
 
Old 10-12-2012, 05:23 AM
 
3,866 posts, read 4,278,029 times
Reputation: 4532
Quote:
Originally Posted by Feltdesigner View Post
I guess you didn't read 2 pages back when I wrote:
I don't think Dem registration numbers mean it's all Obama... but the DEMS did a great job registering a ton of voters in 2008.

Maybe they won't vote this time around because the "history in the making" has worn off but Mitt is far from likable... I can't see a bunch of Southern Christians voting for a Mormon.

But feel free to keep telling me what I think... lol.
The convention was great for Charlotte and NC. The OP doesn't know whether or not the convention impacted NC voters, if any at all. For instance, if the DNC convention were not held in the state, Romney might be leading by 5-6% pts...so one could deduce that due to the convention being held in NC it increased Obama's chance of winning NC by 2-3% pts..
 
Old 10-12-2012, 05:36 AM
 
3,914 posts, read 4,973,504 times
Reputation: 1272
Quote:
Originally Posted by Big Aristotle View Post
.. For instance, if the DNC convention were not held in the state, Romney might be leading by 5-6% pts...so one could deduce that due to the convention being held in NC it increased Obama's chance of winning NC by 2-3% pts..
The last poll taken in NC (by Gravis Marketing) shows Romney ahead by 9 pts.
 
Old 10-12-2012, 05:46 AM
 
Location: The 12th State
22,974 posts, read 65,513,090 times
Reputation: 15081
As of today in this state the last day of voter registration. Out of registered voters according to the state BOE:
Democratic: 2,813,979 more from Monday 10,381
Republican: 2,025,002 more from Monday 5,493
Libertarian: 17,599 more from Monday 357
Unaffiliated: 1,677,179 less from Monday 11, 728

Monday post
Quote:
Originally Posted by SunnyKayak View Post
According to NC board of Elections at this moment of registered voters

Democrats 2,803,598
Republicans 2,019,509
Unaffiliated 1,688,907
Libertarian 17,242

.
 
Old 10-12-2012, 06:28 AM
 
15,355 posts, read 12,648,053 times
Reputation: 7571
Quote:
Originally Posted by gvsteve View Post
Another polling agency, one that people have actually heard of, has Romney/Ryan with a 3 percentage point lead, in a poll with a 4.5 percent margin of error.

Election 2012: North Carolina President - Rasmussen Reports™

It's anyone's game.
this is where Tread blows smoke and says margin of error doesn't....
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