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The last poll taken in NC (by Gravis Marketing) shows Romney ahead by 9 pts.
Gravis Marketing wants you to believe that this is Doug Kaplan
Meet Doug Kaplan http://dougkaplan.net/...
Check out the three 'officers' of the company and nothing comes up. No academic, professional or occupational hits.
They are
Doug Kaplan
Chad Miller
Bobby Hymel.
They have between 2 to 4 employees.
The only poll that matters is the one on election day. Any trash talk from either side before then is useless and immature. Let's just be adults, vote for the candidate whom each of us prefers individually, and respect the free will of one another to make that decision for themselves without turning this into silly play-by-play gamesmanship.
I think the most interesting statistic from that poll is that Romney polls over 50% of independent voters whereas only 27% of these voters care for Obama. That is really a dunning statistic for Obama.
I think the most interesting statistic from that poll is that Romney polls over 50% of independent voters whereas only 27% of these voters care for Obama. That is really a dunning statistic for Obama.
Gravis is a joke... period.
Rasmussen on Oct 2nd... Romney +4 (margin of error 4.5)
Gravis Oct 6-8th.. Romney +9 (margin of error 2.9)
Rasmussen on Oct 9th... Romney +3 (margin of error 4.5)
Why the hell would you use Gravis when it's skewed that far? LOL...
Also remember in 2008: Obama, however, did not take the traditional Democratic path to victory. Instead, his main margins came from the cities, where he did particularly well throughout the country. While Obama only won 35 of North Carolina's 100 counties, these counties contained more than half of the state's population.
I wouldn't put any stock in a poll when 75% of the participants are white. Obama is depending on urban areas to win NC. It all depends on how "excited" these areas are... if they don't turn out it's a wrap, if they vote it will be razor thin regardless of the winner
Last edited by Feltdesigner; 10-12-2012 at 12:42 PM..
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[/i]I wouldn't put any stock in a poll when 75% of the participants are white. Obama is depending on urban areas to win NC. It all depends on how "excited" these areas are... if they don't turn out it's a wrap, if they vote it will be razor thin regardless of the winner
I don't get your logic...in your opinion what should be the correct poll participants representation in percentage?
I wouldn't put any stock in a poll when 75% of the participants are white. Obama is depending on urban areas to win NC. It all depends on how "excited" these areas are... if they don't turn out it's a wrap, if they vote it will be razor thin regardless of the winner
Hmm I don't see where they are a joke. I do see where it's being stated that if a polling organization predicts that a certain candidate pulls ahead, then said polling organizaiton is discredited. 2nd pollester where this has happened now.
Obama won because he got 18,000 more votes than McCain/Palin (a horrible ticket) in a state with over 6 million voters. The urban areas, while holding the 1/2 of the urban population, do not result in 1/2 of the net votes because they tend to cancel themselves out. In Mecklenburg, while over 400,000 people voted, Obama only netted 100,000 votes from Mecklenburg, the most populous county in the state. However these votes were canceled out by the net votes from Iredell, Gaston, Cabarrus, Union and Lincoln counties, 5 of the 6 counties in the Charlotte metro. If I had added in York county in SC, this metro netted votes for McCain, one of the worst tickets in memory. So the idea that urban areas make this election isn't true.
Probably closer to 65% white... hard to say but when the poll is 6 points above every other poll you have to wonder how accurate it is.
...or maybe all the over polls are wrong. LOL..
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