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Old 04-27-2020, 10:28 AM
 
Location: StlNoco Mo, where the woodbine twineth
10,019 posts, read 8,627,751 times
Reputation: 14571

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A year without Mickey ? Say it ain't so
Where on earth can the thrill-seekers go ?
Can't see a ballgame, or go to a show
Just sit at home and watch the long hair grow.
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Old 04-27-2020, 10:40 AM
 
Location: Oregon Coast
15,417 posts, read 9,065,606 times
Reputation: 20391
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bitey View Post
Not a comparable situation. Six Flags NO never re-opened because THE PARK ITSELF was damaged beyond repair. Disney World is still intact, sitting on land Disney itself owns. There is excactly ZERO basis to either claim it is closed until 2021 or to believe it is closed permanently, except to try to defend an indefensible claim.
Six Flags could have rebuilt the park. The park was insured. But they elected not to rebuild it, because it was not in their financial best interest to do so. Likewise Disney could decide that it's is not in their financial best interest to reopen.

Again anything is possible. This is a nationwide disaster. After any disaster, some businesses never reopen again, and the ones that do, often take a long time to reopen. Anyone who thinks the country is just going to open back up, and everything is going to be normal again, is in for a big disappointment.
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Old 04-27-2020, 10:48 AM
 
Location: San Diego CA
8,481 posts, read 6,886,522 times
Reputation: 16998
What else could Disney do? Disneyland here is so jam packed especially in the evenings during parades and fireworks that you are literally just inches away from other people. Waiting in line for an hour to go on a ride and exposing yourself to something contagious. No thanks. Even if and when Corona has ebbed sensible people aren’t going back in droves.
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Old 04-27-2020, 11:08 AM
 
6,345 posts, read 8,117,682 times
Reputation: 8784
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cloudy Dayz View Post
Six Flags could have rebuilt the park. The park was insured. But they elected not to rebuild it, because it was not in their financial best interest to do so. Likewise Disney could decide that it's is not in their financial best interest to reopen.

Again anything is possible. This is a nationwide disaster. After any disaster, some businesses never reopen again, and the ones that do, often take a long time to reopen. Anyone who thinks the country is just going to open back up, and everything is going to be normal again, is in for a big disappointment.
There would be a vast difference, if the Disney parks were destroyed. If Disney had go through 2-3 years of demolish and reconstruction, it would be a hard pill to swallow.

They can get virus controls in place within a few months not eat debt payments for 3 years, before they open.
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Old 04-27-2020, 11:12 AM
 
Location: Brackenwood
9,977 posts, read 5,675,804 times
Reputation: 22130
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cloudy Dayz View Post
Six Flags could have rebuilt the park. The park was insured. But they elected not to rebuild it, because it was not in their financial best interest to do so. Likewise Disney could decide that it's is not in their financial best interest to reopen.

Again anything is possible. This is a nationwide disaster. After any disaster, some businesses never reopen again, and the ones that do, often take a long time to reopen. Anyone who thinks the country is just going to open back up, and everything is going to be normal again, is in for a big disappointment.
Oh really, you think Disney would find it to be a productive use of 50 square miles of their own property to just close everything down and call it a day?

"Anything is possible" is a meaningless catch-all phrase whose only value is to justify far-fetched speculations like you're doing right now.
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Old 04-27-2020, 11:17 AM
 
11,337 posts, read 11,037,875 times
Reputation: 14993
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cloudy Dayz View Post
A financial analysts who is getting paid a lot of money to give investment advice to people all over the world for over 20 years, with a 76.19% success rate. So there is about a 76% chance he is right, and if he is wrong, it might be longer then that.
What is the source of this so-called “success rate” and how is it defined? Plus, a past success rate does not mean this prediction has a 76% chance of being correct. You are engaging in innumeracy and fallacious thinking.
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Old 04-27-2020, 11:18 AM
 
Location: Way up high
22,331 posts, read 29,421,443 times
Reputation: 31472
Until it comes straight from Disney I wouldn't believe anything that is said by other parties.

It doesn't affect me either way...
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Old 04-27-2020, 11:22 AM
 
17,298 posts, read 22,030,713 times
Reputation: 29643
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cloudy Dayz View Post
A financial analysts who is getting paid a lot of money to give investment advice to people all over the world for over 20 years, with a 76.19% success rate. So there is about a 76% chance he is right, and if he is wrong, it might be longer then that.
Also consider if said "analysts" shorted disney stock then came out with their prediction they would make a ton of money short term from market activity jolted by their own "release".........hmmmm.


76% chance, so in other words if he was a student he would have a C average? Funny how 76% sounds so great until you realize that is C student level.
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Old 04-27-2020, 11:25 AM
 
Location: Oregon Coast
15,417 posts, read 9,065,606 times
Reputation: 20391
Quote:
Originally Posted by Marc Paolella View Post
What is the source of this so-called “success rate” and how is it defined? Plus, a past success rate does not mean this prediction has a 76% chance of being correct. You are engaging in innumeracy and fallacious thinking.
John Hodulik - Performance Profile
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Old 04-27-2020, 11:32 AM
 
Location: Oregon Coast
15,417 posts, read 9,065,606 times
Reputation: 20391
Quote:
Originally Posted by City Guy997S View Post
Also consider if said "analysts" shorted disney stock then came out with their prediction they would make a ton of money short term from market activity jolted by their own "release".........hmmmm.


76% chance, so in other words if he was a student he would have a C average? Funny how 76% sounds so great until you realize that is C student level.
76% = Five stars. The top Analysts get about 83%.
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