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Old 04-15-2011, 01:44 PM
 
Location: NJ
31,771 posts, read 40,705,240 times
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if we would do the right thing in libya and help ghaddafi and not the rebels (preferably by doing nothing), things could stabilize much more quickly.
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Old 04-15-2011, 05:15 PM
 
24,488 posts, read 41,146,617 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bchris02 View Post
$160 by July 4th is very probable.
Can you explain your calculations? I'm not getting numbers that high. Best cast I could calculate was $136 ($143 2 sigma) by June 30.
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Old 04-15-2011, 10:16 PM
 
24,488 posts, read 41,146,617 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by forexbinarypro View Post
oil will stay at the levels 120$ for at least 3 months/maximum high it can recah is 125$.so its bteer to take short positions on oil
Can you explain your calculations? I'm not getting the same numbers.
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Old 04-16-2011, 12:13 PM
 
Location: Charlotte, NC (in my mind)
7,943 posts, read 17,256,347 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NJBest View Post
Can you explain your calculations? I'm not getting numbers that high. Best cast I could calculate was $136 ($143 2 sigma) by June 30.
Bank of America: Oil Could Hit $160 by Year-End

The good news is oil prices will collapse after reaching those numbers. The bad news is it will bring the entire economy down with it. Maybe this time Washington will look into regulating oil speculation in the face of 20% unemployment, an angry American population, and the 2012 elections. Under Clinton, when oil traders were required to take delivery of the product, oil never topped $40/barrel.
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Old 04-16-2011, 12:30 PM
 
14,247 posts, read 17,924,929 times
Reputation: 13807
Quote:
Originally Posted by bchris02 View Post
Bank of America: Oil Could Hit $160 by Year-End

The good news is oil prices will collapse after reaching those numbers. The bad news is it will bring the entire economy down with it. Maybe this time Washington will look into regulating oil speculation in the face of 20% unemployment, an angry American population, and the 2012 elections. Under Clinton, when oil traders were required to take delivery of the product, oil never topped $40/barrel.
"Brent could break through $140 in the next three months, she says. And, “Under our upside risk scenario, Brent prices could average between $125 dollars a barrel and $160 this year.”

Nothing like a worst case scenario

This year is now July 4th

$160 is now "very probable" And this despite the fact that the article quoted a range with $125 as the low end.

Of course, B of A is at pains to point out that this is an "upside risk scenario".

In their downside risk scenario, the investment bank’s analysts said that “Libyan supplies come back in a month and there is no further turmoil in the region. Brent prices should average $100/bbl in 2011 under this setting."

BofA Merrill Lynch: Q2 Brent crude to average $122 on Libya unrest - Business - GMA News Online - Latest Philippine News

"Goldman Sachs sees things differently. In a research note Tuesday, it said oil will soon see a “substantial pullback,” The Wall Street Journal reports.

You seem to love jumping on bad news and most of the time you get it wrong. Like the little boy who cried wolf, soon nobody will be listening to you any more. This isn't the Politics forum. On here you get posters who like a bit of meat with their polemic.
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Old 04-16-2011, 10:10 PM
 
24,488 posts, read 41,146,617 times
Reputation: 12920
Quote:
Originally Posted by bchris02 View Post
Bank of America: Oil Could Hit $160 by Year-End

The good news is oil prices will collapse after reaching those numbers. The bad news is it will bring the entire economy down with it. Maybe this time Washington will look into regulating oil speculation in the face of 20% unemployment, an angry American population, and the 2012 elections. Under Clinton, when oil traders were required to take delivery of the product, oil never topped $40/barrel.
I've already read that article. BOA is saying it will go up and reach $160. But you're saying that its very probable that it will hit $160 by July 4th. What are YOUR calculations for that statement? Don't tell me you're just speculatinng based on BOA without doing any of your own analysis...
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Old 04-18-2011, 11:03 AM
 
2,168 posts, read 3,388,336 times
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Gulf CEO: Oil to fall below $100 by July 4th

News Headlines

Quote:
He sees the price of oil within a few dollars of a top. "I don’t think we’ll hit $125. I think by July 4 we’ll be under $100," he said.

He said world demand for oil is slowing. There are signs "this market is peaking out. I think we will see the peak, if we haven’t seen it already, in the next three to four weeks."
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Old 04-18-2011, 05:33 PM
 
78,423 posts, read 60,613,724 times
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*crickets*

Oh well, time to move on to the next hot disaster! How about food riots? Can we dust off that old chestnut from a year or so ago?
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Old 04-18-2011, 05:41 PM
 
Location: South Carolina - The Palmetto State
1,161 posts, read 1,859,623 times
Reputation: 1521
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mathguy View Post
*crickets*

Oh well, time to move on to the next hot disaster! How about food riots? Can we dust off that old chestnut from a year or so ago?
How 'bout food riots due to lack of bicycles??

There's a winner!
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Old 04-19-2011, 04:02 PM
 
Location: Charlotte, NC (in my mind)
7,943 posts, read 17,256,347 times
Reputation: 4686
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mathguy View Post
*crickets*

Oh well, time to move on to the next hot disaster! How about food riots? Can we dust off that old chestnut from a year or so ago?
I was listening to talk radio and the host was talking about how we could see global famine by the end of the year due to rising food prices. I found this article that explains it in a little more detail.

20 Signs That A Horrific Global Food Crisis Is Coming

As long as oil keeps rising, food will as well.
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