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Well if history serves us right no president was ever re-elected with the economy as bad as it is on election day. People vote their wallet. I don't think Anericans are so dumb to double down on failure but we will have to wait and see.
When the man in charge of the poll speculates that he's recording a temporary outlier result, it's probably a temporary outlier result. Moreover, given that the poll puts Obama up by greater than the MOE in every region except the South, even if accurate it simply means that this +7 margin will translate into votes squandered in perma-red states. At most, it means the possibility of an EC/popular vote split, which most supporters of Obama will welcome readily enough as karmic justice for 2000:
And btw, there's a perfectly good thread right at the top of the page for this kind of poll-driven speculation.
Romney will be even higher next week in the next 7 day.
Todays news will start that off.
Rasmussen has it as a 48-48 tie. I think that is probably closer to the truth than the Gallup number. OMG lib heads explode as they concede that Rasmussen is the sane voice here.
Well if history serves us right no president was ever re-elected with the economy as bad as it is on election day. People vote their wallet. I don't think Anericans are so dumb to double down on failure but we will have to wait and see.
No candidate has ever lost with a favorability rating at 50% or above at this point in a campaign either....and Romney is there.......with Obama trailing.
A Susquehanna poll of Pennsylvania (commissioned by the Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania) showed Mitt Romney four points ahead there — the first poll of any kind showing Mr. Romney with a lead in Pennsylvania since another Susquehanna poll in February.
Susquehanna is about as reliable as a two bit you know what.
Bob Beckel on Latest Presidential Polling Numbers: “It’s Over. It’s Over”
He's right.
It's over. It's been over for quite awhile now. But this late Romney bump sure lets all the media corporations make it sound close so they can try to increase their ratings.
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Bob Beckel on Latest Presidential Polling Numbers: “It’s Over. It’s Over”
