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Old 05-11-2016, 01:42 AM
 
52,431 posts, read 26,636,151 times
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Devastating news for Hillary.

According to CBS/CBSN 44% of Bernie's voters say they will Trump if he isn't nominated by the DNC.

That number is Yuge!.

Hillary is facing landslide losses. WVa is just a taste of that.

 
Old 05-11-2016, 02:01 AM
 
4,078 posts, read 2,340,233 times
Reputation: 1395
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
Devastating news for Hillary.

According to CBS/CBSN 44% of Bernie's voters say they will Trump if he isn't nominated by the DNC.

That number is Yuge!.

Hillary is facing landslide losses. WVa is just a taste of that.
That's just in West Virginia exit polls, it's hardly official and it's all BS anyways. 54% of Hillary voters swore they would NEVER vote for Obama in 2008. They had petitions with over 100k signatures, websites etc...what happened? 9 in 10 ended up voting for Obama in Nov. it's all talk, just like Trump.
 
Old 05-11-2016, 02:12 AM
 
52,431 posts, read 26,636,151 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dexter75 View Post
...and it's all BS anyways......
But you say this about every poll that doesn't meet your narrative.

I maintain that any poll for an election that takes place 6 months from now doesn't mean much. I'm only pointing out that's a Yuge jump from wher it has been previously. (~30%)
 
Old 05-11-2016, 02:18 AM
 
Location: Pasadena, CA
9,828 posts, read 9,419,527 times
Reputation: 6288
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
But you say this about every poll that doesn't meet your narrative.

I maintain that any poll for an election that takes place 6 months from now doesn't mean much. I'm only pointing out that's a Yuge jump from wher it has been previously. (~30%)
Yet you proclaimed this one poll to be "devastating news for Hillary", saying it's a telltale sign of things to come.

Sounds like these polls do mean a lot to you...when they favor your beloved circus clown.

Last edited by RaymondChandlerLives; 05-11-2016 at 02:31 AM..
 
Old 05-11-2016, 02:19 AM
 
4,078 posts, read 2,340,233 times
Reputation: 1395
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
But you say this about every poll that doesn't meet your narrative.

I maintain that any poll for an election that takes place 6 months from now doesn't mean much. I'm only pointing out that's a Yuge jump from wher it has been previously. (~30%)
Right, that's because they are just anti-establishment trolls. Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders are worlds apart on pretty much every single issue. The only explanation for their supporters voting for the other candidate Is simple, they are just voting for the "outsider" candidate regardless of policies. They are low information, useless voters who couldnt tell you anything relevant about their candidate or his policies. They are trolls.
 
Old 05-11-2016, 02:19 AM
 
52,431 posts, read 26,636,151 times
Reputation: 21097
Quote:
Originally Posted by RaymondChandlerLives View Post
No, you proclaimed this one poll to be "devastating news for Hillary", saying it's a telltale sign of things to come. Sounds like these polls do mean a lot to you...when they favor your beloved circus clown.
Making it about me doesn't change the fact that it's devastating news for Hillary.
 
Old 05-11-2016, 05:58 AM
 
2,973 posts, read 1,975,653 times
Reputation: 1080
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
Devastating news for Hillary.

According to CBS/CBSN 44% of Bernie's voters say they will Trump if he isn't nominated by the DNC.

That number is Yuge!.

Hillary is facing landslide losses. WVa is just a taste of that.

That is clearly because lots of Trump supporters voted for Sanders in West Virginia.
2016 Election Center

If it is Sanders vs Trump in November, 53% of the voters in the WV dem primary who will prefer/vote for Trump over Sanders are Sanders voters in the primary.

That tells you everything.
 
Old 05-11-2016, 09:57 AM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,803 posts, read 41,019,978 times
Reputation: 62204
As long as we can keep that jinx Lindsey Graham from endorsing Trump, we should be okay.
 
Old 05-11-2016, 12:06 PM
 
52,431 posts, read 26,636,151 times
Reputation: 21097
Hillary spends ~$200,000,000 on campaign and her 20pt lead disappears.


Exclusive: Trump surges in support, almost even with Clinton in national U.S. poll | Reuters
 
Old 05-11-2016, 12:29 PM
 
29,551 posts, read 9,725,771 times
Reputation: 3472
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
Hillary spends ~$200,000,000 on campaign and her 20pt lead disappears.

Exclusive: Trump surges in support, almost even with Clinton in national U.S. poll | Reuters
I'm not the poll junkie like many of you folks who post in this thread regularly, but of course I am curious to see into the future just like the next person fearful of the Trump possibility, so I had a look at this link and I read, "according to the online poll of 1,289 people conducted from Friday to Tuesday. The poll had a credibility interval of about 3 percentage points."

I really have to wonder about the "value" of polling only 1,300 folks when there are on the order of 150 million registered voters in America. From what I know about statistics anyway, that seems like an awfully small data pool. Also intriguing is this term "credibility interval" as compared to the "confidence interval" I'm more used to seeing referenced. Not sure what that all means exactly, but must be "credible," at least by 3 percent.

Maybe posted already, but here it seems a sample size of about 1,000 is typical, and the last one put Hillary at +6, the average puts Hillary at +6.4

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Last edited by LearnMe; 05-11-2016 at 12:39 PM..
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