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Trump has always been saying that he will win NJ Pennsylvania and New York and put California in play. How can you realistically see Trump win those states? I think that since ny is his home state and NJ has voted Republican in gubernatorial elections in 2009 and 2013 he might have a chance.
One wildcard is the Hispanic vote in the urban areas in NJ and NY. These areas are dominated by machine politics like Hudson County in NJ.
Pennsylvania has always been struggling with job outsourcing and it has mines and steel. These people are fertile ground for Trump especially since Trump is a protectionist.
Are those Hispanics eligible to vote? Less than 50% of Hispanics are eligible to vote in the USA and many don't vote, less of a percentage than blacks as a demographic.
Hispanics who legally came to the US should want good jobs and security just like everyone else in the country. Right?
It is still early and Trump is doing so well. I expect this trend to continue as the message gets out and Clinton gets deeper in the poop she is involved in.
Trump has always been saying that he will win NJ Pennsylvania and New York and put California in play. How can you realistically see Trump win those states? I think that since ny is his home state and NJ has voted Republican in gubernatorial elections in 2009 and 2013 he might have a chance.
One wildcard is the Hispanic vote in the urban areas in NJ and NY. These areas are dominated by machine politics like Hudson County in NJ.
Pennsylvania has always been struggling with job outsourcing and it has mines and steel. These people are fertile ground for Trump especially since Trump is a protectionist.
Pennsylvania is likely the one to watch on election night. If Trump's appeal to rust belt blue collars turn any state, it's most likely Pennsylvania. Chances of taking Michigan, Minnesota or Wisconsin are next to nil if he isn't able to turn PA, so taking it is key for him.
As far as California, New Jersey or New York are concerned, it's not bloody likely, and they probably wouldn't matter anyway, because in the extremely remote chance that Drumph carries them, he would be well beyond 270 EV and victory.
Last edited by Bureaucat; 05-29-2016 at 02:00 PM..
I was at the jersey shore yesterday. I have never seen so many Trump bumper stickers. Actually, had never seen one before! They were all over the garden state parkway! And on long beach island I saw 4 cars with "trump 2016" written on the back windshields. Just an observation.
Location: 23.7 million to 162 million miles North of Venus
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I think Trump will probably do well in the 'sanctuary state' CA. Citizens of that state are probably tired of being pushed into the corners, and, the suit that the Kate Steinle family had recently filed will put the problems front and center.
Trump can put Pennsylvania in play. New York and California, not so much. However, if he holds Hillary to under 60% in NY, he would have already won the election.
Are those Hispanics eligible to vote? Less than 50% of Hispanics are eligible to vote in the USA and many don't vote, less of a percentage than blacks as a demographic.
Hispanics who legally came to the US should want good jobs and security just like everyone else in the country. Right?
It is still early and Trump is doing so well. I expect this trend to continue as the message gets out and Clinton gets deeper in the poop she is involved in.
Trump has incentivized millions of them to register to vote and turn out against him in Nov as no other Republican in their lifetime has The clown is going to get buried in the general election.
I think Trump will probably do well in the 'sanctuary state' CA. Citizens of that state are probably tired of being pushed into the corners, and, the suit that the Kate Steinle family had recently filed will put the problems front and center.
Not likely at all. It's a solid blue state for any Democratic candidate for the last 20 years, and Trump isn't going to change that. As a matter of fact, his unfavorables with Latinos may mean he'll lose the state 60-40 instead of 58-42.
Trump has always been saying that he will win NJ Pennsylvania and New York and put California in play. How can you realistically see Trump win those states? I think that since ny is his home state and NJ has voted Republican in gubernatorial elections in 2009 and 2013 he might have a chance.
One wildcard is the Hispanic vote in the urban areas in NJ and NY. These areas are dominated by machine politics like Hudson County in NJ.
Pennsylvania has always been struggling with job outsourcing and it has mines and steel. These people are fertile ground for Trump especially since Trump is a protectionist.
He won't win NY. Remember Clinton's base is there, too. NYC folks know Trump all too well as a buffoonish loudmouth real estate mogul.
Trump is targeting 15 states. He doesnt expect to necessarily win them all, but he will force Crooked Hillary to spend money defending blue states.
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