Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
A titanic clash of the sexes leaves Democrat Hillary Clinton with a small 45 – 41 percent lead
over Republican Donald Trump in the race for president, according to a Quinnipiac University
National poll released today.
When third party candidates are added to the mix, Clinton gets 40 percent with Trump at
38 percent, too close to call, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll
finds. Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson gets 5 percent and Green Party candidate Jill
Stein gets 3 percent.
Okay The footnote makes note that rounding may mean the figures don't add up to 100%. Luckily, we can still test my claim because the actual numbers are provided. # of white Hispanics = 26,735,713. Total number of Hispanics = 50,477,594. 26735713/50477594 = approximately 53.0% - that is, more than half.
And the percentage of white non-Hispanics is most certainly not rising.
Wrong footnote.
But here's where your "theory" fails. It's not the popular vote that elects Presidents. It's the electoral vote. So say for example in South Carolina, where the African American population is 28% and Hispanics make up 15% of Whites, the state's electoral votes are all going Red anyway. And SC is one of the most non-White states in the USA.
Well that's why the electoral college was created to ensure these imbalances are quaranatined to select states. The election is less about voters more about the political position sand demographics of each state.
Many blue states could go red because democrats have threaten the local economy such as gas pipeline, oil jobs, and factories moving to Mexico could shift the public position.
Many democrat strongholds are being threaten by Trump because Hillary is only leading by single digits compared to the last election where Obama took double digit leads in those states.
Democrats are siding with immigrants but most of the immigrants don't vote. You have a large % of youth vote that will only go Bernie or Trump and Hillary has very little support from them.
A titanic clash of the sexes leaves Democrat Hillary Clinton with a small 45 – 41 percent lead
over Republican Donald Trump in the race for president, according to a Quinnipiac University
National poll released today.
When third party candidates are added to the mix, Clinton gets 40 percent with Trump at
38 percent, too close to call, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll
finds. Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson gets 5 percent and Green Party candidate Jill
Stein gets 3 percent.
Polls are meaningless at this point, however.
Yes, I mentioned that in my OP. Check it out again (I didn't edit).
Well that's why the electoral college was created to ensure these imbalances are quaranatined to select states. The election is less about voters more about the political position sand demographics of each state.
Many blue states could go red because democrats have threaten the local economy such as gas pipeline, oil jobs, and factories moving to Mexico could shift the public position.
Many democrat strongholds are being threaten by Trump because Hillary is only leading by single digits compared to the last election where Obama took double digit leads in those states.
Democrats are siding with immigrants but most of the immigrants don't vote. You have a large % of youth vote that will only go Bernie or Trump and Hillary has very little support from them.
Do the math.
Would you care to tell us which states that are blue which are dependent on oil and gas industries as a large part of their economy? Most of them are already red, such as Texas, Oklahoma, and Louisiana.
And which democratic strongholds are being threatened by Trump?
Fundamentally, the EC has a built in Democratic advantage. This means the Democratic candidate (any one) has to take only a few swing states to get to 270. OTOH, any Republican candidate has to pretty much run the table on swing states to get 270.
In the last 2012 election, Obama took 332 - 206 vs. Romney.
Tell us which voting demographic and what states is Trump going to flip from the Democrats.
He's basically doubling down on a core Republican base that is shrinking demographically while doing everything to alienate many other constituencies, many of which are key Democratic constituencies.
As I pointed out above. It doesn't matter if Hillary gets 100% of the Black vote is most of them live in states that will go Red anyway.
People will be voting jobs. They won't be voting the color of their parent's skin.
You would be correct if a presidential candidate wouldn't be constantly making comments remind them of the color of their skin.
Every time Trump opens his mouth and screams crap like that judge is probably Mexican, or makes a derisive comment on Black live matters etc it just reminds those minority groups there are more important issues than just promises of jobs on vague plans. But trust me the plans are great.
As I pointed out above. It doesn't matter if Hillary gets 100% of the Black vote is most of them live in states that will go Red anyway.
People will be voting jobs. They won't be voting the color of their parent's skin.
You are right to an extent. But VA has 20% black population. FL has 16%, OH has 12%, and PA has 11%. Not too bad for those swing states.
Go check out the polls on who is winning in the following Blue and Swing States: NY, CA, MA, NH, RI, CT, PA, MD, DE, VA, DC, FL, OH, MI, MN, IL, WI, IA, HI, NM, OR and WA.
If you wish to insert your "reasoned rationale" that completely contradicts the polls, that is your prerogative. I am sure Rosie O'Connell feels that she is very attractive and a nice person, but her opinion doesn't make it so.
Go check out the polls on who is winning in the following Blue and Swing States: WA.
Yeah it's unfortunate that my vote won't count... Seattle metro votes blue... and it doesn't matter what the rest of the state does... even though they vote red.
I spent the weekend over in eastern Washington... Trump country.
A titanic clash of the sexes leaves Democrat Hillary Clinton with a small 45 – 41 percent lead
over Republican Donald Trump in the race for president, according to a Quinnipiac University
National poll released today.
When third party candidates are added to the mix, Clinton gets 40 percent with Trump at
38 percent, too close to call, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll
finds. Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson gets 5 percent and Green Party candidate Jill
Stein gets 3 percent.
Polls are meaningless at this point, however.
Anyone who believes Trump even has a remote chance of winning a general election when he gets clobbered by Dems with Women, Hispanics, African Americans and Millenials is insane and confusing his success in a GOP primary with a general electorate which are two VERY different things. He has ZERO chance in a general election. ZERO.
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.