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Trump is locked into a 40-38% base and will not pull anymore. He has maxed out, but could lose more if he keeps acting like the ass he is.
Well, we have an ass and a liar running for President. Seems you like the liar. Fair enough.
The thing about an ass is that most often it is a means to an end. A liar though, it's part of them and they'll lie about anything and everything without reason, they just lie, it really is who they are.
Remember, the high-water mark for Latino support of a Republican presidential candidate was 44 percent for President George W. Bush in 2004. By 2008, John McCain earned 31 percent. And Mitt Romney could earn just 27 percent in 2012.
As for Trump, he has already alienated a majority of Latino, Black, Asian, Female, educated, etc voters..
Quote:
Fifty six percent of Latinos say they are certain they are voting for Hillary and 15 percent lean toward the Democratic candidate; only 16 percent of Latinos say they are certain they are voting for Trump and 8 percent are leaning toward the Republican candidate.
I find this obsession (by both sides) with every single poll this far out from the election rather funny,. It is sort of like getting a first down early in the second quarter and the people in the stands going wild and chest bumping like the game is all over.
And if the poll shows your candidate ahead it is a smart, accurate, important poll. But if the next time it comes out it shows the same candidate losing ground, it is a stupid, inaccurate, meaningless poll.
and that's if you believe the polls aren't skewed to make hillary look good.
Ahh, I'm not sure.. not only is the media out to get Trump, but he's done a pretty good job at turning many people away from what should be a slam dunk win. he's blowing the election all by himself.
Remember, the high-water mark for Latino support of a Republican presidential candidate was 44 percent for President George W. Bush in 2004. By 2008, John McCain earned 31 percent. And Mitt Romney could earn just 27 percent in 2012.
As for Trump, he has already alienated a majority of Latino, Black, Asian, Female, educated, etc voters..
There are just not enough crazy and angry White male voters in America that can carry Trump across the finish line.
The latino vote really doesn't come into play. You have 8 states that contain 78% of the latino population.
California, Texas, Florida, Arizona, New Mexico, New York, New Jersey and Illinois
California, NY, Illinois, NJ - are Democratic strongholds - NM swings towards the Democrats
Texas, Arizonia - are Republican strongholds - so the only state really in play are Florida where the hispanic vote counts is Florida - in the other states it's a non issue although it keeps being reported as such
The latino vote really doesn't come into play. You have 8 states that contain 78% of the latino population.
California, Texas, Florida, Arizona, New Mexico, New York, New Jersey and Illinois
California, NY, Illinois, NJ - are Democratic strongholds - NM swings towards the Democrats
Texas, Arizonia - are Republican strongholds - so the only state really in play are Florida where the hispanic vote counts is Florida - in the other states it's a non issue although it keeps being reported as such
I wouldn't be so sure about Arizona. The RCP poll average shows Clinton slightly ahead - and that's without taking into account a poll 3 days ago which shows Clinton with a 3-point edge.
In Arizona things are going to be close and it could easily go Blue this election.
The biggie though is of course Florida. If Trump loses Florida he's almost certain to lose the election and it's not looking particularly good for him there.
Aside from RCP, Nate Silvers FiveThirtyEight has Arizona going Blue in his "Now-cast" (admittedly the most volatile of his 3 models) and Florida Blue in all 3 of his models.
Last edited by LordBalfor; 08-06-2016 at 07:34 AM..
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