***National Presidential Polls*** Part III (voters, campaign, Democrats, Republicans)

[Retriever]

...and then there is this news, which bodes poorly for The GOP:

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...3&ref=cta&_r=0

[~HecateWhisperCat~]

Originally Posted by Retriever

...and then there is this news, which bodes poorly for The GOP:

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...3&ref=cta&_r=0

They have a good shot at picking up some seats regardless. IL,WI, and IN will likely go in their favor. PA, and NH might as well. Of course if they lose NV that leaves a split. Still a good 2-3 seats is likely even if Clinton loses.

[~HecateWhisperCat~]

Monmouth:


North Carolina Clinton 44, Trump 42, Johnson 7



Burr is only up by 2 and Cooper is up by 9 in the Governors race.


HB2 is having a bad draw on the state as well. Might be why the Governor is behind.

[RaymondChandlerLives]

RCP again refuses to add the latest Reuters poll, but they update LA Times daily without fail. Interesting.

[~HecateWhisperCat~]

Originally Posted by RaymondChandlerLives

RCP again refuses to add the latest Reuters poll, but they update LA Times daily without fail. Interesting.

RCP is really odd about that stuff. It could be because Reuters/Ipsos has a telephone poll as well.

[Ponderosa]

Originally Posted by ~HecateWhisperCat~

RCP is really odd about that stuff. It could be because Reuters/Ipsos has a telephone poll as well.

RCP is a right leaning (fairly strong) web site. They have a bias toward putting up junk polls that favor Republicans while ignoring the same or better that favor Dems. That is why I suggest Pollster which makes no editorial adjustments to the data. You decide.

[bellhead]

Originally Posted by ~HecateWhisperCat~

Monmouth:


North Carolina Clinton 44, Trump 42, Johnson 7



Burr is only up by 2 and Cooper is up by 9 in the Governors race.


HB2 is having a bad draw on the state as well. Might be why the Governor is behind.

If she is two up in North Carolina in October then this race is over, Clinton is president, Democrats win 10 seats in the senate and the house flips.

Also since Trump's ground game is non-existent how many points per state is that worth for the democrats?

[~HecateWhisperCat~]

Originally Posted by bellhead

If she is two up in North Carolina in October then this race is over, Clinton is president, Democrats win 10 seats in the senate and the house flips.

Also since Trump's ground game is non-existent how many points per state is that worth for the democrats?

From what I have gathered it's worth between 1-2 points. It's not a lot but can be beneficial in a close state.

[GotHereQuickAsICould]

Originally Posted by ~HecateWhisperCat~

Monmouth:


North Carolina Clinton 44, Trump 42, Johnson 7



Burr is only up by 2 and Cooper is up by 9 in the Governors race.


HB2 is having a bad draw on the state as well. Might be why the Governor is behind.

His ads aren't helping the situation.

Why in the world would you run ads about what a friend to business you are in the middle of businesses pulling out over HB2?

Some of his ads talked smack about Cooper's oversight of SBI Lab, while most of recall that his team uncovered the problems and worked to resolve them.

Whoever is running his ad campaign must be mole from the other side because all they are doing is reminding NC voters what a tool he is.

[LordBalfor]

Originally Posted by Listener2307

Surely you don't think Trump is leading the GOP, do you?
Evidently, the GOP can find its own path to oblivion; they don't need Trump.

True enough, but he IS hastening it.


Ken