*****The FINAL Presidential Poll Thread of 2016***** (voters, campaign, illegal, democratic)

[pknopp]

Originally Posted by ~HecateWhisperCat~

Maybe no, but Jon Ralston is scary accurate in his predictions. If he says Trump is going to have a high bar to clear then it's likely true.

That's been said from day one. Actually, he wasn't even gave that much of a chance.

[philkirkham]

Originally Posted by LifeIsGood01

But how can they avoid calling them if it's random? They can't, unless they have a list of cell phone numbers that can't be called in the computer system.

You can tell if a number is landline or cell

[~HecateWhisperCat~]

Originally Posted by RaymondChandlerLives

That CNN poll had Trump winning in Clark County, a minority-majority state that no Republican has carried since HW Bush.

Even CNN had to question the results of that poll.

The poll sampled so few Latinos in it that they couldn't even report the number. That's likely the issue there.

[LifeIsGood01]

Originally Posted by philkirkham

You can tell if a number is landline or cell

So why this hoopla about people calling cell phones.

If they can only call landlines Hillary will win buy a landslide.

[Ponderosa]

Originally Posted by Bureaucat

FINAL Politico/Morning Consult National Poll: Clinton by 3

Clinton : 45%
Trump: 42%
Johnson: 8%
Stein: 4%

Final poll: Clinton leads Trump by 3 as voters lock in - POLITICO

Third party in that poll is ridiculous.

[~HecateWhisperCat~]

Originally Posted by Ponderosa

Third party in that poll is ridiculous.

Yeah, they won't get that. Stein won't even clear a percent and Johnson will be lucky to get 3. Online polls seem to keep those two alive more than live caller polls.

[bellhead]

Originally Posted by philkirkham

You can tell if a number is landline or cell

If you have an idea about telecom in general then I can help you hence my username, bellhead.

Numbers are assigned to cell companies and to competitive Local exchange carriers in area codes by the NNX part of a phone number.

Ex.

Area Code + NNX + Last 4 #'s

515-335-0000 to 515-335-9999 are assigned to verizon wireless in this area code.

515-337-0000 to 515-337-9999 are assigned to sprint in this area code.

This is available on the internet so you can determine which phone #'s are cell and which are landline.

[Ponderosa]

We need to ignore any new polling that includes Sat/Sun. Weekend polls skew to the right. Clinton +5 seems to be about the final number. Add a point or two for under-reporting dem vote like the did in 08 and 12 and you get the picture. HRC wins. It would not surprise me in the least if she does a little better than that even and tops Obama '08. I always figured she would, but then came the Comey knee-cap.

[pknopp]

Why Hillary will lose Michigan.

Readers not pleased with Hillary Clinton endorsement

[Bureaucat]

Originally Posted by Ponderosa

Third party in that poll is ridiculous.

I agree.