Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
Sorry I went out to dinner, but I did just find the source for that, surprisingly it's the same poll that has trump up 3 in Ohio:
"The poll included a sample of Ohio voters who have already participated via either absentee voting or early in-person voting, based on reporting from the Ohio Secretary of State that is tracked on TargetSmart’s voter file. Among these early voters, the survey finds Clinton with a 7-point lead over Trump, 48 to 41 percent. Our poll suggests that Secretary Clinton has banked substantially more votes ahead of the election than Trump. Moreover, as we saw in our recent research in Florida among early voters, a significant number of Republicans have already crossed over to support Clinton,” said TargetSmart pollster Ben Lazarus. TargetSmart – TargetSmart/William & Mary Release Final 2016 Election Survey of Ohio Early and Likely Voters
Tom Bonier (targetsmart) tweeted on this a few minutes ago. He said there are two components here, a regular poll and a poll of early voters. In the EV poll, women are turning out at 57% and are going to Clinton by over 30 points. In the regular poll they did not use the 57%, but their usual 52% estimate which favors Trump. If the women turnout continues to outperform the assumptions, then Clinton will likely take Ohio. It's up to the ladies.
Tom Bonier (targetsmart) tweeted on this a few minutes ago. He said there are two components here, a regular poll and a poll of early voters. In the EV poll, women are turning out at 57% and are going to Clinton by over 30 points. In the regular poll they did not use the 57%, but their usual 52% estimate which favors Trump. If the women turnout continues to outperform the assumptions, then Clinton will likely take Ohio. It's up to the ladies.
Today is like hovering in an ICU waiting room. Every once in a while, someone in scrubs comes out to say blood pressure has dropped and our hearts all skip a beat. Then someone says that pulse is holding steady and we all breathe a sigh of relief.
Those bad hombres finished him off in Nevada and probably Florida too. They say Ohio is a bellwether. If the outsized and unforeseen women's vote and margin in Ohio plays out nationwide, this could end up in a Mondale style election.
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
