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Old 11-07-2016, 10:05 AM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,936,246 times
Reputation: 6927

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Quote:
Originally Posted by RaymondChandlerLives View Post
In New Hampshire? I count two today (one from Right-leaning Emerson) that have Clinton ahead. Are you sure you're cherry-picking correctly?
Check out RCP.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - New Hampshire: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Are you sure YOU are cherry picking correctly?

 
Old 11-07-2016, 10:09 AM
 
Location: az
13,734 posts, read 7,999,139 times
Reputation: 9402
Almost all the battleground states are within the margin of error

Nate Silver has HC 2 to 1 over Trump but he's anything but certain. The Trump shy voter? Many downplay the idea but Silver doesn`t dismiss the possibility.
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/nate-...ry?id=43329272

Then there is the soft AA/ Sander voters which I believe will cost HC the election.
http://www.city-data.com/forum/46090144-post881.html
 
Old 11-07-2016, 10:09 AM
 
Location: Pasadena, CA
9,828 posts, read 9,417,405 times
Reputation: 6288
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
Check out RCP.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - New Hampshire: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Are you sure YOU are cherry picking correctly?
So 5 of the last 7, with the two most recent favoring Clinton. I'm sure the miscount was TOTALLY unintentional on your part.

You didn't think the Comey effect was going to last forever, did you?
 
Old 11-07-2016, 10:13 AM
 
Location: Near Manito
20,169 posts, read 24,330,946 times
Reputation: 15291
Quote:
Originally Posted by RaymondChandlerLives View Post
So 5 of the last 7, with the two most recent favoring Clinton. I'm sure the miscount was TOTALLY unintentional on your part.

You didn't think the Comey effect was going to last forever, did you?
I shudder to think of the heat he took over the weekend from the Clinton machine. The Vince Foster effect strikes again.
 
Old 11-07-2016, 10:14 AM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,936,246 times
Reputation: 6927
Quote:
Originally Posted by RaymondChandlerLives View Post
So 5 of the last 7, with the two most recent favoring Clinton. I'm sure the miscount was TOTALLY unintentional on your part.
You could just say "you were right" and move on.
 
Old 11-07-2016, 10:15 AM
 
10,513 posts, read 5,166,113 times
Reputation: 14056
538 "Chance of Winning"

Trump's odds of winning has taken a sudden dive...

Nov. 7, at 12:02 p.m.EST Clinton 67.9% Trump 32.1%
Nov. 6, at 10:16 a.m.EST Clinton 64.2% Trump 35.7%
Nov. 5, at 3:14 p.m. EDT Clinton 64.7% Trump 35.2%
Nov. 4, at 5:38 p.m. EDT Clinton 63.9% Trump 36.1%<< high water mark?
Nov. 4, at 12:52 p.m.EDT Clinton 68.6% Trump 31.3%
Nov. 3, at 6:17 p.m. EDT Clinton 65.2% Trump 34.8%
Nov. 3, at 11:51a.m. EDT Clinton 63.9% Trump 36.1%<< high water mark?
Nov. 2, at 9:31 p.m. EDT Clinton 65.4% Trump 34.5%
Nov. 1, at 6:04 p.m. EDT Clinton 69.6% Trump 30.3%
Oct.31, at 2:11 p.m. EDT Clinton 76.1% Trump 23.9%
 
Old 11-07-2016, 10:16 AM
 
Location: az
13,734 posts, read 7,999,139 times
Reputation: 9402
Quote:
Originally Posted by RaymondChandlerLives View Post
...You didn't think the Comey effect was going to last forever, did you?
No, but long enough to help cost HC the election.

Another week or so HC would likely fully rebound but the election is tomorrow.
 
Old 11-07-2016, 10:16 AM
 
14,489 posts, read 6,098,111 times
Reputation: 6842
National polls show Clinton comfortably ahead though state polls show a closer race. I think
It will be a close race with no landslide
 
Old 11-07-2016, 10:16 AM
 
11,988 posts, read 5,294,358 times
Reputation: 7284
Final National Polls (Updated at noon

Bloomberg: Clinton 44%, Trump 41%, Johnson 4%, Stein 2%

CBS News: Clinton 45%, Trump 41%, Johnson 5%, Stein 2%

Washington Post/ABC News: Clinton 47%, Trump 43%, Johnson 4%, Stein 2%

NBC News/SurveyMonkey: Clinton 47%, Trump 41%, Johnson 6%, Stein 3%

Fox News: Clinton 48%, Trump 44%, Johnson 3%, Stein 2%

Monmouth: Clinton 50%, Trump 44%, Johnson 4%, Stein 1%
 
Old 11-07-2016, 10:18 AM
 
17,342 posts, read 11,281,227 times
Reputation: 40978
Now NH has Clinton ahead by only 0.4%
Ohio has Trump ahead by 2.5%
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