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Old 11-07-2016, 08:32 AM
 
4,120 posts, read 6,611,994 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marino760 View Post
New Mexico as of 4 minutes ago:

Clinton 45.7, Trump 44.8..........Clinton up by less than one percent now in New Mexico.

Think she is going to win by a bit more than that.

 
Old 11-07-2016, 08:35 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bellhead View Post
Think she is going to win by a bit more than that.
Just saying......I'm just putting out what the latest polls have on Polltracker. We'll see tomorrow night and maybe not know much until Wednesday if it's really close.
 
Old 11-07-2016, 08:52 AM
 
4,120 posts, read 6,611,994 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marino760 View Post
Just saying......I'm just putting out what the latest polls have on Polltracker. We'll see tomorrow night and maybe not know much until Wednesday if it's really close.

Understand, but the states with a lot of Latino's are hard to poll, some of the experts are reversing themselves and are now saying Latinos are being under reported in AZ/NM/Nevada by double digits. We could easily be calling this the Hispanic wave election if this happens.
 
Old 11-07-2016, 09:28 AM
 
Location: Pasadena, CA
9,828 posts, read 9,421,148 times
Reputation: 6288
Monmouth has HRC +6, PPP +5, and Fox +4 in just released 4-way polls. The trend is definitely in her favor.

My guess is she'll win by 5 points nationally, lose Ohio and Iowa, but gain North Carolina. Everything else will resemble 2012.
 
Old 11-07-2016, 09:38 AM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,941,358 times
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Trafalgar Group

Florida


Trump 50%
Clinton 46%
 
Old 11-07-2016, 09:43 AM
 
Location: FL
20,702 posts, read 12,542,103 times
Reputation: 5452
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
That's a huge one to put in play. A win in NM could replace NV or NH
Don't get your hopes up.

538 has him with a 21.2 chance.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...ew-mexico/#now

RealClearPolitics has her ahead by 3.5
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - New Mexico: Trump vs. Clinton
 
Old 11-07-2016, 09:44 AM
 
Location: az
13,755 posts, read 8,014,399 times
Reputation: 9417
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
I see one poll with her up 11% and another more in line with recent polls at +1%.
11 points. That's some bull****.
 
Old 11-07-2016, 09:47 AM
 
Location: Pasadena, CA
9,828 posts, read 9,421,148 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by john3232 View Post
11 points. That's some bull****.
No less crappy than the junk polls (of which there is an endless amount) favoring Trump.
 
Old 11-07-2016, 09:50 AM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,941,358 times
Reputation: 6927
Quote:
Originally Posted by RaymondChandlerLives View Post
No less crappy than the junk polls (of which there is an endless amount) favoring Trump.
It looks like 6 of the 7 latest pollsters have Trump leading or in a tie. I'm not sure they can all be simply dismissed as "junk".
 
Old 11-07-2016, 10:00 AM
 
Location: Pasadena, CA
9,828 posts, read 9,421,148 times
Reputation: 6288
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
It looks like 6 of the 7 latest pollsters have Trump leading or in a tie. I'm not sure they can all be simply dismissed as "junk".

In New Hampshire? I count two today (one from Right-leaning Emerson) that have Clinton ahead. Are you sure you're cherry-picking correctly?
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