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I think that Trump is making a fatal error in spending too much time in Michigan and Pennsylvania. He won't be able to win those states.
That time and resources would be better spent in Florida, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Colorado and Nevada. Trump doesn't need either Pennsylvania or Michigan to possibly reach 270. New Hampshire and Maine CD2 would get him to 270 along with those other must win states that he has had a lead in!
It's complicated for his campaign. He probably won't win Nevada or Colorado based on early voting trends. I think they underestimated hispanic enthusiasm in those areas. I think they are doing the right thing. If he wins either PA and MI and NH he has more chances of winning.
He also might lose FL. It's a combination of poor ground game and a growing non-republican hispanic population
If he doesn't move one of the blue rust belt states, he has to run the table on all of the others with virtually no margin for error, and that means sweeping or nearly sweeping those tossups with significant Latino turnout. That's probably unrealistic. He's responding to his private polling results and knows he has to pull a shocker of an upset to win. It's a desperate move for desperate times for his campaign.
I think you're on to something here.
According to Nate Silver's winding path, Trump can take all the swing states--Florida, North Carolina, Nevada and still won't make it over the line if he can't get Massachusetts or Pennsylvania to cross over to him.
It's complicated for his campaign. He probably won't win Nevada or Colorado based on early voting trends. I think they underestimated hispanic enthusiasm in those areas. I think they are doing the right thing. If he wins either PA and MI and NH he has more chances of winning.
He also might lose FL. It's a combination of poor ground game and a growing non-republican hispanic population
Also, about 30% of Republicans are apparently voting for Clinton in Florida according to one pollster.
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Originally Posted by TxStorm72
I think that Trump is making a fatal error in spending too much time in Michigan and Pennsylvania. He won't be able to win those states.
That time and resources would be better spent in Florida, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Colorado and Nevada. Trump doesn't need either Pennsylvania or Michigan to possibly reach 270. New Hampshire and Maine CD2 would get him to 270 along with those other must win states that he has had a lead in!
Early vote says he is going to lose Nevada and Colorado. It makes sense for him not to be there. Why he is in Michigan or Pennsylvania, I have no clue. Of all the blue states he could turn, Wisconsin is the one with the easiest path. I understand that you cant admit defeat in any state, but he may have spread himself so thin that he hurt himself.
Early vote says he is going to lose Nevada and Colorado. It makes sense for him not to be there. Why he is in Michigan or Pennsylvania, I have no clue. Of all the blue states he could turn, Wisconsin is the one with the easiest path. I understand that you cant admit defeat in any state, but he may have spread himself so thin that he hurt himself.
We've had this conversation before but it doesn't seem to matter much because some people don't get it. Early vote doesn't say he lost Nevada and Colorado. No one has counted those votes. Why can't you get that tiny little part of it?
It's complicated for his campaign. He probably won't win Nevada or Colorado based on early voting trends. I think they underestimated hispanic enthusiasm in those areas. I think they are doing the right thing. If he wins either PA and MI and NH he has more chances of winning.
He also might lose FL. It's a combination of poor ground game and a growing non-republican hispanic population
Dems were up 30k ballots in Colorado, but now Republicans are up 7k.
According to Nate Silver's winding path, Trump can take all the swing states--Florida, North Carolina, Nevada and still won't make it over the line if he can't get Massachusetts or Pennsylvania to cross over to him.
You cannot have meant to type Massachusetts!
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