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speaking of pennsylvania, clinton’s polling lead is narrower there than obama’s was. It’s also much narrower in michigan, a state that was barely even a swing state in 2012 but presents a risk to clinton this year.:
lmao, anything that gives you hope, I guess it works.
Nate just wants you to stay glued to his website. He already knows who is gonna win like the rest of Americans who have not been blinded by some Orange clown.
Jon Ralston just tweeted that early voters in Nevada have now given Clinton a 60000+ firewall that's nigh near impossible for Trump to overcome next Tuesday. NV is going deep blue. https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/s...570880?lang=en
Um, isn't it illegal to release votes before election day? Also this guy is an irrelevant liberal hack. If it was a right winger saying the same thing about Trump, you would be calling BS. He's not even verified. Bad source.
The very latest, according to Nate Silver's 538 ...
Pennsylvania is not "dark blue" nor "light blue" - but "medium blue." He gives Hillary a 75.9% chance of winning and Donald a 24.1% chance. Donald's odds are much better in some of the other states like Florida and Ohio. Remember, too, Pennsylvania has nearly more than a million more registered Democrats than Republicans.
Earlier today - even this late in the campaign - Pennsylvania's only state-wide elected Republican, the junior senator Pat Toomey, refused to endorse Trump and was asked 10 times if he would at least vote for Trump refused to answer the question.
270toWin has compiled a chart showing 11/3 Electoral Vote projections of 15 major forecasters. Clinton has more than 270 EV's in every single one, including Fox.
Um, isn't it illegal to release votes before election day? Also this guy is an irrelevant liberal hack. If it was a right winger saying the same thing about Trump, you would be calling BS. He's not even verified. Bad source.
Early voting results are published daily by Nevada Secretary of State Barbara Cegavske, a Republican. They're not actual votes but they do denote each voter's stated political affiliation. She'll also tabulate, publish, and certify the Nov. 8 results. If you don't like the results, take it up with the Nevada Republican voters who elected her in 2014.
Jon Ralston just tweeted that early voters in Nevada have now given Clinton a 60000+ firewall that's nigh near impossible for Trump to overcome next Tuesday. NV is going deep blue. https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/s...570880?lang=en
LOL funny link.
Some uncle rico guy is so angry with the data that he is personally attacking the messenger. Typical Trump supporter.
Myriam Witcher's vote probably won't make a difference
NV+NH = 10 EV, and have highly concentrated populations. You don't leave those EV's lying on the table. If you're polling close or even, it makes sense to do one last swing-by in each. In the same week, you also do 1-2 rallies in each of the above populous states and have your top surrogates blanket them.
(That's grossly simplified. The Clinton campaign is polling and targeting resources at the precinct level. In some cases, they might identify a single precinct as one crucial to swinging a state, so off they go to some podunk suburb.)
That's exactly right. Clinton has an extensive ground game that communicates to the campaign on a local/precinct level so that reaction to trends is immediate. From now until Tues. ground game is really the whole battle. You've made the case for over a year now, now it's time to nail down the vote. Trump has no boots on the ground to get the votes. That may very well be his undoing.
The Dems can have all the boots on the ground they want but it`s not going to overcome voter apathy especially within the AA communities. Hell, the Dems start bussing them to the polls and I bet a percentage vote Trump.
Trump is going to get a much higher % of the AA than predicted. You can almost bet on it.
Then you have the 18-29 year old Sander vote so crucial for HC as well. Can`t see them getting all excited to vote HC.
Not suggesting they`ll go Trump but a % might sit this one out which will further hurt Clinton.
I've said all along that Trump would need to get down below 1% nationally to have a decent shot (unless the polls turn out to be inaccurate). I just averaged the 6 national polls listed on RCP that were taken on Thursday, and the average is Clinton 0.667. Therefore, I think the election is going to be 50-50 unless something changes in the next 4 days.
Nate 'the Liberal's DemiGod' has calculated a 9.3% probability Trump wins the Presidency while losing the popular vote and there is a reasonable probability Trump wins the popular vote and if he does, he wins the Presidency....Silver calculated only a 0.3% probability Crooked hillary wins the election if she doesn't win the popular vote.
Then you have the 18-29 year old Sander vote so crucial for HC as well.
More than 75% of the Sanders supporters are older than 30. You do know this right?
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