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At this point, the dems have a stop Trump strategy. That won't get them on a path to 270 electoral votes. They still can't figure out why they lost in 2016, and won't appeal to many centrists or those who jump ship and abandoned their party.
They only needed between 100-200k votes in a couple of rust belt states to pull in the EC vote. Hillary- as unpopular as she was- still won the Popular vote. The quickest path to those votes is actually pulling in more liberal voters, younger voters, and minority voters who sat out 2016. Running someone without Hillary's raging unpopularity will also help them make a dent in the center.
There will also be an opening with agriculturally minded voters since all these trade moves and tariffs could wreak havoc on agri-business.
They only needed between 100-200k votes in a couple of rust belt states to pull in the EC vote. Hillary- as unpopular as she was- still won the Popular vote. The quickest path to those votes is actually pulling in more liberal voters, younger voters, and minority voters who sat out 2016. Running someone without Hillary's raging unpopularity will also help them make a dent in the center.
There will also be an opening with agriculturally minded voters since all these trade moves and tariffs could wreak havoc on agri-business.
Good points, although many of the agribusiness heavy areas are in non-competitive states. But the 2020 electorate is not going to be exactly identical to the 2016 electorate. Many people will pass away on one end of the age spectrum, and many others will gain voting eligibility on the other end over the intervening four years. That inevitable shift doesn't necessarily doom Trump, but it's fair to say it won't work to his advantage given he is far more popular with older vs. younger voters.
Yep. He is not getting a pass in the primaries. In fact, I don't think he wins in the primaries.
That would be so funny if he lost the primary.
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