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Old 02-15-2016, 09:42 AM
 
Location: SoCal
20,160 posts, read 12,753,835 times
Reputation: 16993

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Potential_Landlord View Post
Yep. The German economy has universal health care, extensive highways (autobahn), paid sick leave for everyone and 6 weeks of paid vacations. And it works just fine, actually those are assets rather than liabilities to a civilized economy. No need for a Bernie there, so much more here though.
Then why is Deutsch Bank dropped 90% in value? I think I read on the news it's lower than after 2009.
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Old 02-15-2016, 09:44 AM
 
2,806 posts, read 3,177,009 times
Reputation: 2703
Quote:
Originally Posted by NewbieHere View Post
Then why is Deutschland Bank dropped 90% in value? I think I read on the news it's lower than after 2009.
They invested too much in exploitative economies like the US.
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Old 02-16-2016, 06:33 AM
 
Location: Ponte Vedra Beach FL
14,617 posts, read 21,483,492 times
Reputation: 6794
Quote:
Originally Posted by lchoro View Post
I see them in analytical articles all the time. It's been about 4 years since the trendline was touched on all of the major averages. Some have already been broken. I don't like using trendlines that aren't touched periodically as their validity is in question. People keep a note of all these things, such as trendlines, moving averages, AD lines, McLellan indicators, etc. to gain a confidence level better than just using one thing.

The Coppock Curve uses monthly moving averages or just use any charting program that allows monthly time frames. I use a Full Stochastic indicator which works similar to MACD lines.

The monthly indicators gives a perspective relevant for market conditions that only come only every 4 to 8 years. They give you an idea which way you should tilt your positions or allocations.
Agree with the last. I do run some monthly charts with monthly indicators. Which gives me an idea of the longer term trends.

Also agree with following various indicators to validate/invalidate one's current view of the markets.

OTOH - I like trading systems with very few moving parts.

I took a look at the 200 week MA on the SP500. It is way too slow to be worth much of anything IMO. I like the 12 month MA a lot better. Robyn
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Old 02-16-2016, 07:17 AM
 
12,022 posts, read 11,567,188 times
Reputation: 11136
Quote:
Originally Posted by Potential_Landlord View Post
They invested too much in exploitative economies like the US.
DB's derivatives exposure to interest rates has been in the news for some time.

Negative rates on sovereign debt is like taking a haircut on debt. The holder has to pay the issuer but doesn't have to take an immediate writedown for the debt reduction.

German 'bail-in' plan for government bonds risks blowing up the euro - Telegraph
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Old 04-18-2016, 06:28 PM
 
Location: Spain
12,722 posts, read 7,569,884 times
Reputation: 22634
Quote:
Originally Posted by jotucker99 View Post
There's a TOP to this thing guys, there's no way you see DOW 18k or 20k again unless the Fed goes negative rates.
Rates are positive, DJIA is over 18k.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jotucker99 View Post
- If I'm right, I want an APOLOGY for every one of you stock boys

- If I'm wrong, I will APOLOGIZE to every one of you stock boys

Deal?
Deal.
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Old 04-18-2016, 06:53 PM
 
18,053 posts, read 15,653,675 times
Reputation: 26769
heh.

As if.
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Old 04-18-2016, 07:25 PM
 
26,191 posts, read 21,574,273 times
Reputation: 22772
Quote:
Originally Posted by lieqiang View Post
Rates are positive, DJIA is over 18k.


Deal.


This has to make 3-4 threads worth of call outs and pwnage
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Old 04-19-2016, 02:11 AM
 
106,623 posts, read 108,773,903 times
Reputation: 80112
yep , 18k will be hit never again , sorry jot , this is why your forecasting skills , well let me put it nicely , SUCK!
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