Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
Most people think of " risk free" as in, if I invest x dollars, I get y return with no variations or loss of x. Mathjak delves into the finer definitions of risk. That's fine but comes across sometimes as answering the question of "what color?" Where you answer "blue" and he comes back with, "no, it's robins egg blue". Yes, there are finer points to EVERY question, but not everyone wants or needs that answer.
losing money OR PURCHASING POWER TO INFLATION is a loss . it is not the same thing as a different shade of a color which might have zero consequences . .
you have very inexperienced people here as well as those with a very low understanding of investing and risk .
while to them on the outside something appears risk free , it really is not , it just has risks they have failed to consider or are not able to see yet at their level of understanding .
these forums are about getting educated in the area's you may be lacking . there is no such thing as being made overly aware of dangers ,risks and pitfalls . .
And it is those very inexperienced or uneducated people who you turn off by making every simple answer into a complex one. I've learned that you have to start off in simple terms and ease into finer points or you lose your audience quickly.
No matter the answer, you point out flaws in it. This is a forum for the masses, not Dr. Pfau and his cronies. I deal in .0001 at work, but if someone tells me something is 6", I don't run over and measure 6.0435 to prove them wrong. Most questions posted here aren't looking for that level detail or info. It's fine to point them to further reading but not to argue they are wrong because they didn't provide every single detail.
Maybe they need a Mathjak sub-forum as not everyone thinks the same as you. And believe it or not, doesn't make them wrong.
I suppose you can goose it with a risk-free arbitrage (the data is from a few weeks ago, but you'll get the idea)
• Recent US T-bill: +0.98%
• Recent Japan T-bill: -0.34%
• Recent difference between spot USDJPY, and 1yr forward USDJPY: 1.91%
So, starting with dollars, you can make 0.98% if you just buy a 1yr T-bill. Straightforward & risk-free.
However, you can make 1.57% if you change your dollars to yen, buy a 1yr Japanese t-bill with the money, and simultaneously enter a 12mo currency forward to change your yen back into dollars at the end of it all. Less straightforward – but also risk-free.
So the arbitration, which you can lock in for 1yr which is a pretty long time, is 59 bps right now.
Hmm… probably too much work to try to take advantage of it.
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.