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I put your selections in the Backtest Portfolio Analyzer and got the following results. $10,000 invested 100% in each security with a monthly contribution of $1000. Start Date: Jan 2000, End Date: Current (July 2018)
So, yes, you are right the Nasdaq 100 has left others in the dust, but will this be the case for the future? We have had a huge runup in tech in the last few years so i'm guessing that is affecting the returns of QQQ. Not sure that can be extrapolated to the future.
I tend to agree with you. S&P is more diversified, but BOTH are actually largely driven by TECH and even specifically FAANG.
The Nasdaq has outperformed the S&P since the February "crash". Nasdaq is at new highs, S&P is only back about 70% (much recent gain since some stocks were added, TWTR & NVIDIA). But the Nasdaq also sells off more drastically when it goes down.
The Dow is the index that has made up the LEAST since the Feb "crash." So - there are two ways to look at it. Personally, I tend to think the DOW has the most room left to recover (grow), but I also like Tech for its growth factor (Nasdaq). I find the S&P to be the most boring, which is good if you don't want to watch the market every day.
we should remember that the Nasdaq 100 fell a shocking 82% during the last tech crash in 2002.. I don't think most people have the nerves to handle that kind of volatility even if it's temporary... lol.
In my experience, it is virtually impossible to pick which individual stocks out of thousands will perform well compared to the market over a period of 20-30 years.
In my experience, it is virtually impossible to pick which individual stocks out of thousands will perform well compared to the market over a period of 20-30 years.
Maybe if you have a major stroke of luck.
But I thought you said the risk of loss is the price of investing no?
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