Quote:
Originally Posted by mysticaltyger
So what? It's normal for investment grade bonds to have a bad year from time to time. That's just the nature of a balanced portfolio.
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we have never had anything but a bull market in bonds over the last 45 years . we hit a speed bump every now and then but nothing that carried over or can be called a bear market for bonds .
it can be very different now and has been . very different fed policy than prior . BND- vanguard total bond returned 1.62% the last 3 years as an example . .ffrhx floating rate almost 5% ...
so i truly believe having flexibility in your choices in bond funds is very important today . a strong economy with rising rates calls for one style , an economy falling in to recession is quite another . some models fly fighter cover all the time with powerful long term treasuries .
while you can sit in a balanced fund for convience , you will likely do much better by being able to change equity and bonds funds as the big picture changes .
the more conservative you are the more crucial bond fund selection can become .
the insight income model which is only 24% equities has had a rough year and has been negative for most of the year , so has wellesly income . on the other hand the 60/40 growth and income model has been up all year and the growth model is seeing double digit gains . so there are times being more conservative in certain assets can be the riskier bet because they never develop that cushion for anything to go wrong .
so in conservative models bond fund selection is going to be very very important unlike the past it seems . wellesly income is down to about 36% equities and 22% of the bonds are in long term bonds 20-30 years . so they are very defensive . that is great if that is your view but not a good fit if that is not your sentiment or goal .