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Old 10-31-2018, 07:54 PM
 
3,763 posts, read 5,860,170 times
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I am curious if Harrell is so bad and corrupt, was she the best choice in the GOP primary? She sure hasn't run any positive ads on TV and T-S has the DCC blasting her. Maybe I am wrong but I don't see her having a chance against T-S ( a lackey of Heinrich). Also, Pierce didn't do well running for the senate and I don't see him doing much better this time. I guess NM will go solid blue this time.

* observations from an El Pasoan who has to endure both TX and NM political ads and is wearing out my "mute " button. Please enlighten me if I am wrong. :-)
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Old 11-01-2018, 07:17 AM
 
Location: Abu Al-Qurq
3,689 posts, read 9,185,180 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rogarven View Post
I am curious if Harrell is so bad and corrupt, was she the best choice in the GOP primary?
The voters seemed to think so.

Quote:
She sure hasn't run any positive ads on TV and T-S has the DCC blasting her.
Republicans don't win with positive ads. R voters show up at the polls rain or shine. The negative ads are aimed at getting the opponent's voters to stay home, which is a surprisingly effective strategy sometimes. The D advertising is aiming at getting them to vote, which somebody thinks works.

Quote:
* observations from an El Pasoan who has to endure both TX and NM political ads and is wearing out my "mute " button. Please enlighten me if I am wrong. :-)
You don't have to stare at a TV (with commercials?!) for hours each day. Few people under 40 do that anymore.
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Old 11-01-2018, 09:06 AM
 
Location: Alamogordo, New Mexico
356 posts, read 503,442 times
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The rotten ads are coming from D.C. PACS in which no one has ever set foot in New Mexico. Screw 'em all.
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Old 11-01-2018, 09:21 AM
 
Location: New Mexico U.S.A.
26,527 posts, read 51,767,782 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rogarven View Post
I am curious if Harrell is so bad and corrupt, was she the best choice in the GOP primary? She sure hasn't run any positive ads on TV and T-S has the DCC blasting her. Maybe I am wrong but I don't see her having a chance against T-S ( a lackey of Heinrich). Also, Pierce didn't do well running for the senate and I don't see him doing much better this time. I guess NM will go solid blue this time.

* observations from an El Pasoan who has to endure both TX and NM political ads and is wearing out my "mute " button. Please enlighten me if I am wrong. :-)
These may shed some light, or maybe not:
https://ballotpedia.org/New_Mexico%2...election,_2018

https://ballotpedia.org/Xochitl_Torres_Small

https://ballotpedia.org/Yvette_Herrell
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Old 11-01-2018, 10:03 AM
 
3,763 posts, read 5,860,170 times
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Pancho, thank you for the primary results . I stand corrected in that Torres - Small was a lackey for Udall and not Heinrich. Probably no difference. Interesting that she works for Kemp -Smith , a big law firm here in ELP.
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Old 11-07-2018, 09:45 AM
 
Location: Lubbock, TX
4,255 posts, read 5,937,571 times
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Close race!
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Old 11-07-2018, 07:20 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque NM
2,070 posts, read 2,384,008 times
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As of about 6 minutes ago, Torres-Small has now been announced the winner of that election by about 3000 votes! This is certainly a surprise to me. I have not checked yet but this is the first time a Democrat has held that office in years.
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Old 11-07-2018, 08:38 PM
 
Location: Abu Al-Qurq
3,689 posts, read 9,185,180 times
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I can’t recall the last time the entire leadership of the state went blue. Oh wait.. 2008.

And for cd 2 to flip in an off year is surprising.
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Old 11-07-2018, 09:04 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque NM
2,070 posts, read 2,384,008 times
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I thought the 2nd congressional district had been led by a Republican for a very long time. But I had forgotten about Harry Teague, a Democrat, in office from 2009-2011. The last Democrat in that office before him was Harold Runnels who held the office from 1971-1980.
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Old 11-08-2018, 05:15 AM
 
Location: Abu Al-Qurq
3,689 posts, read 9,185,180 times
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National moods have a disproportionate impact on 2.
Teague rode in on Obama’s coattails with 55%, and never actually defeated Pearce, who mistakenly believed he had a shot at a senate seat that year.

By 2010, Pearce defeated Teague by about the same margin when a number of Obama voters didn’t vote.

I strongly suspect Pearce, had he run for house again, might have been able to hold on to the seat, though it still would’ve been super close. A lot of conservatives associate staying power and name recognition with their economic interests, which Herrell couldn’t bring to the table, and the crackpot right wing fringe wasn’t about to vote for a woman.

This time CD2 may be no longer something Pearce can win. His base is aging and dying, and younger people have been civically inspired for the first time since the 60’s and 70’s. 2020’s elections will break records, and for the party that counts on low turnout, it’s 2022 before they even have a prayer of getting 2 back.
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