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Any success in other predictions? People predict many things, some of them are going to be right once in a while just because of the shear numbers of them.
I keep predicting I'm going to win Lotto every Saturday when I buy my ticket. I'm just waiting for my "some are going to be right once in a while"
Just spent some time on his website. He is classic example of the paranoid and self assured crank who believes he is involved in a crusade against entrenched orthodoxy.
As far as I can tell he claims to have predicted hundreds if not thousands of earthquakes over the years. Somehow though, the only documentation of a successful prediction in the Loma Prieta Quake. He stopped publishing predictions on his website last June. At that time he predicted for the period between Jun 12-19:
Quote:
(1) 3.5-6.5M within 2-degrees of Mt. Diablo (Lat 37.9N; Lon. 121.9W)
(2) 3.5-6.5M within 2-degrees of Los Angeles (34.0N; 118.0W)
(3) 3.5-6.5M with an epicentral address of Washington or Oregon.
(4) 7.0+M major quake globally, most likely in the Pacific Ring of Fire.
Well... 1,2 & 3 never happened. Unfortunately, he also missed predicting the 5.7 we did have here in San Diego on Jun 15th.
The "major quake" prediction scored... but only because he predicted a quake that size for the whole world. There were actually two 7+ quakes during that period of time. But since there are usually about 15 such quakes every year (and 21 in 2101), that was hardly a risky prediction.
This guys only claims to fame are "predicting" the earthquake in 1989, and one Jan "9th to 14th" 2010 (after the fact from the looks of it). Considering he "predicts" massive earthquakes every couple weeks it very sad that has missed predicting every other major earthquake in 22 years (including Indonesia and Japan).
I am pretty sure he actually has less of a chance of predicting an earthquake then a monkey throwing darts at a calendar, and certainly less then one throwing anything that can smear.
The only thing for certain is that if nothing happens between March 19th and 26th is that he won't shut the hell up.
OR you can recognize precarious situations in nature for nothing less than what they inherently are.
FACTS:
-Terra Firma does have fluidity much as we try to make a globe conform to a grid in our minds.
-Nature can be compensated for by adaptive means but never overcome without humanity destroying itself believing in it's own superior omnipotence. -We too are natures creatures demanding doses of humility with every irrational UNDER intellectualized assumption we've leaned upon. Traditional farmers and fishermen intimately connected to the earth know more about this subject than main stream skyway dwellers.
OP: dont buy into this bullcrap. Geologic time frames are substantially longer - in the hundreds and thousands of years. That is why it is very difficult to predict quakes with the accuracy this guy is predicting. Most geologists agree they will be lucky to predict meaningful events within a few 10s of years at any place. In fact, when we look back and see plate movements spanning millions of years, and geologic era also lasting millions of years, it becomes obvious that predictions even within a few hundred years can be tough.
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