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Originally Posted by mackinac81
The article is the citation. See post number 2. According to this article, tea party support, as of August, has gone down since April. The debt ceiling deal was "resolved" at the beginning of August, so that only stands to reason that part of the reason for their decline in support was due to the debt ceiling deal.
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Like a vast majority of people,you clearly do not understand how to read poll results, and are not aware of just how often the media will often manipulate their results to present their own bias.
1) If a report does not clearly state the poll is scientific, it's worthless.
2) Margin of error, is based on the type of polling factors that may effect an accurate cross section, Phone Polls: not all have phones, some have unlisted numbers, and do not allow a standard for demographic analysis etc. Most scientific polls are on average +/-3% to +/-5% = 6% to 10% var.
If all three polls are conducted in precisely the same manner, this would mean, if we used the 10% var and the first poll showed 30% support and the next two were 25% and 35% the percentage of support has not scientifically changed, it merely presents a mathematical illusion of change.
Only when the poll number falls outside of the variable range has a loss or gain in support occurred, all that fall with-in the variable are adjusted by margin of error.
To accurately read a poll is the opposite of how it is presented, rather than interpreting it by the base median of 30%, interpret it in the manner it was intended, by the variable 25% - 35%, which serves as the true measure reflecting support.
Polls cannot account for all the variables affecting the results, and it is not intended to be mathematically precise. Therefore, viewing it as a single percentage defeats the intended purpose of the poll itself
3) If the media compares three polls, and one poll used the +/-3%, another +/-4, and another +/-5% you would see a major fluctuation in numbers, suggest some degree of manipulation.
It is basic human nature to resist rapid ideological change, no matter how positive it may be. If such changes are claimed to have occurred, the scientific validity of the comparisons should be objectively reviewed. Even if all three polls were originally conducted scientifically.
If the set of numbers used in comparison are from a separate poll, which was the case here, and those numbers appear stable you now know the reason why. The report is no longer mathematical in nature, but agenda based and intended to show one as stable, therefore suggesting a solid support base, and the other as erratic, therefore suggesting an unstable support base.
There are only two percentages presented here that have any statistical relevance. 41% conservative plus 22% Tea Party = 63% non-Democratic.
What makes them relevant is no longer a mathematical theorem, but an applied mathematical statement proven as fact. After huge political shock-waves saw a Republican handily defeat a Democrat in the bastion of liberalism of 3:1 Dem to rep ratio, and then a 20% landslide in the Liberal/Hispanic realm of Reid.
If anyone should not be laughing it is those on the Left, because these numbers are now proven to not be a lie.
The source article reflecting not just these factual numbers, but a few more blowing the Left Wing Propaganda out of the political water.
(CNSNews.com) - More than a quarter of Americans describe themselves as supporters of the Tea Party movement, and the demographics of this group generally mirror the demographics of the national population, according to a USA Today/Gallup Poll.
From March 26-28, Gallup asked 1,033 adults this question: “Do you consider yourself to be--[a supporter of the Tea Party movement, an opponent of the Tea Party movement] or neither?
Twenty-eight percent said they considered themselves to be a supporter of the Tea Party movement. A smaller percentage, 26%, said they were opponents of the Tea Party movement. Thirty-eight percent said they were neither, and 8 percent had no opinion.
“In several other respects, however--their age, educational background, employment status, and race--Tea Partiers are quite representative of the public at large,” Gallup’s Lydia Saad wrote in [URL="http://www.gallup.com/poll/127181/Tea-Partiers-Fairly-Mainstream-Demographics.aspx"]
an analysis[/URL] of the poll.
According to Gallup, 75 percent of the U.S. population is non-Hispanic White, while 11 percent are non-Hispanic black, and 15 percent belong to other races. Meanwhile, 79% of Tea Party movement supporters are non-Hispanic white, while 6 percent are non-Hispanic black, and 15 percent belong to other races.