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Old 07-14-2020, 06:08 PM
 
Location: Living rent free in your head
42,835 posts, read 26,594,886 times
Reputation: 34099

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Listener2307 View Post
I dunno.
Your side came up with the statistic. You look to me for answers for your nonsense?


If it's adults, then 90 million think Trump is OK. And Biden will lose.
"my side came up the the statistic"? Can you elaborate on that?
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Old 07-14-2020, 06:10 PM
 
Location: Living rent free in your head
42,835 posts, read 26,594,886 times
Reputation: 34099
Quote:
Originally Posted by Listener2307 View Post
.. And on the economy - a subject that counts - 49.1% of adults approve of Trump while 46.9% disapprove. That would be about 100 million adults who approve of Trump.
Worried yet?
Wow, you should quit while you're ahead
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Old 07-15-2020, 09:54 AM
 
26,576 posts, read 14,531,473 times
Reputation: 7450
Quote:
Originally Posted by wrecking ball View Post
current RCP:


41.1 approval


56.6 disapproval



spread: -15.5



trump's gotten a rebound this morning.


41.9 approval


55.1 disapproval



spread: -13.2
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Old 07-15-2020, 09:57 AM
 
8,969 posts, read 2,588,812 times
Reputation: 4738
Quote:
Originally Posted by wrecking ball View Post
trump's gotten a rebound this morning.


41.9 approval


55.1 disapproval



spread: -13.2
Meanwhile the national gap between Trump and Biden is only 8.8 points meaning that a significant number of people disapprove of Trump, but support him over Biden. IMO this is why polling tends to underestimate Trump's true support level. There are a lot of people who don't like him but prefer him over the garbage tier candidates the DNC run out there against him.
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Old 07-15-2020, 10:14 AM
 
26,576 posts, read 14,531,473 times
Reputation: 7450
Quote:
Originally Posted by bobbythegreat View Post
IMO this is why polling tends to underestimate Trump's true support level.

the RCP national average was only 1.1points off the final vote in 2016.
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Old 07-15-2020, 10:17 AM
 
Location: SoCal
4,168 posts, read 2,170,445 times
Reputation: 2317
Quote:
Originally Posted by wrecking ball View Post
the RCP national average was only 1.1points off the final vote in 2016.

We are only in July, RCP will be much closer come November. American public will reelect president Trump so he can make America great again
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Old 07-15-2020, 10:19 AM
 
26,576 posts, read 14,531,473 times
Reputation: 7450
Quote:
Originally Posted by bobbythegreat View Post
Meanwhile the national gap between Trump and Biden is only 8.8 points .....

that's a significant gap.
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Old 07-15-2020, 12:38 PM
 
Location: Nowhere
10,098 posts, read 4,135,150 times
Reputation: 7088
Professor who correctly predicted 5 of past 6 presidential elections makes forecast for Trump 2020

Quote:
Norpoth's proven model, called the "Primary Model," uses data from early primary election results, rather than opinion polls, to predict base excitement. He told Mediaite last week that his model would have accurately predicted the outcome of all but two presidential elections since 1912.
"The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November," Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."
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Old 07-15-2020, 12:42 PM
 
Location: Los Angeles
7,817 posts, read 2,761,018 times
Reputation: 3388
Quote:
Originally Posted by wrecking ball View Post
that's a significant gap.
Yep...this close to an election with the economy in shambles and a resurgent pandemic. Don't see any tail winds here.
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Old 07-15-2020, 04:01 PM
 
51,741 posts, read 26,059,814 times
Reputation: 38044
Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnBoy64 View Post
Yep...this close to an election with the economy in shambles and a resurgent pandemic. Don't see any tail winds here.
Not to mention the social justice protests.

Meanwhile, Trump and his "senior advisor" are pimping beans on social media.

https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher/s...83780053958656
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