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Here's how it looks. I believe thats a gust front in front of it with some straight line wind gusts. (not strong at this time) Rotation is also weak but signs of it there in the atmosphere
Speaking of which... didnt NWS say they were going to use new words like End of World, Catastrophy, ect. ect. Just to get people to take the warnings more seriously? I believe last year they mentioned this
I would honestly take them less seriously if they started using words like that...
So GFS continues the snow theme. Its hard to call snow in the winter and Spring when things are marginally, imagine end of May. but consistancy past few days keeping this interesting!
Euro says snow to West Virginia higher elevations. GFS much more bullish on the Northeast accumulations.
My opinion? Only the mountains above 3500' will see any snow flakes. . Anything else can happen but lets leave it for the mountains for now.
FYI, Sounding I attached below does NOT support snow for northern CT. So that right off the bat eliminates where its showing the snow on the accumulation map.
Because of air temp (right white curve) and dew (left white curve) in the low-to-mid-40s at lower levels. Isotherms would be the blue lines. By the looks of it, the temperature turns positive around 4,500' high (850-something hPa).
So GFS continues the snow theme. Its hard to call snow in the winter and Spring when things are marginally, imagine end of May. but consistancy past few days keeping this interesting!
Euro says snow to West Virginia higher elevations. GFS much more bullish on the Northeast accumulations.
Interesting. If the storm happens the way the 12z GFS shows, the actual accumulations will look like scattered blobs with multiple bullseyes in the higher elevations with the maximum accumulation probably in excess of 12 inches. The low resolution means that the map is "smoothed out". What will actually happen will almost certainly deviate from this, however, and snowstorms this late in the season are inherently unpredictable. The general idea of significant snow and where (or if) it will happen is the only thing we can hope to glean from the models at this point.
why doesn't it read snow? I forgot how to read skew-T plots.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rozenn
Because of air temp (right white curve) and dew (left white curve) in the low-to-mid-40s at lower levels. Isotherms would be the blue lines. By the looks of it, the temperature turns positive around 4,500' high (850-something hPa).
Yup,thanks. surface stays way too warm when there's moisture around. I checked the previous and later hours before this time frame and this was the closest it comes. Also, just not cold enough above yet when moisture is around.
hmmmm.. just because its below normal that much doesn't mean its that cold. Its actually colder here than there right now.
Current temp in Geneva is 15c.
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