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Colorado is lucky... always the potential for snow this time of year. Here that possibility is pretty much nonexistent now.
Yeah but then they can also get 60-70 F temperature in the middle of winter (speaking of the Front Range here). So I'm not sure how lucky they really are.
So I might have to be taking a vacation in SoCal this August
Quote:
High AAM states during the boreal Summer:
The August correlation between surface temperatures and AAM is shown below. During high AAM states, we often see widespread colder than average temperatures across the CONUS, resulting in lower than average cooling demand. The focus of cooler than average temperatures is centered over the Consuming East.
Quote:
BOTTOM LINE: An upcoming drop in AAM is anticipated this week, which increases risk for western U.S. trough passages and southeastern ridge development. However, a high-latitude blocked pattern will still likely yield cooler than average temperatures across the eastern U.S. during the 6-10 and 11-15 day period forecasts. If blocking is less intense than what is predicted, slight warmer risks are favored across the East. The low AMM state is currently an expression of low-frequency tropical forcing over the western-central tropical Pacific. This state will soon end in 1-2 months as an El Nino atmosphere establishes. According to +AAM correlations with surface temperature in the summer, we often see a cooler than average pattern emerge across the U.S. (August). Interestingly enough, this cooler than average idea agrees will with our AEI automated analogs for August.
So I might have to be taking a vacation in SoCal this August
How about some snow for you end of this month?
Euro actually misses you and gets New England with snow showers AND Virginia and WV mountains. At this point, lets just call it snow "falling" and not accumulating as shown.
Basically you can get an idea what type of air mass is coming by looking at a snow total projection map like this..
Well, TWC is predicting our first 90F high on April 24th. I'm not putting too much stock in that at the moment...anyway, the high today is supposed to be a cool 70F with more rain likely.
I thought you said a while back that El Nino in summer doesn't affect the eastern US?
Apparently not for Chicago according to this
Quote:
Past El Ninos have had little apparent effect on Chicago summers, but they have dramatically altered the winters. Our "El Nino winters" tend to be milder, drier and "quieter" than normal: fewer outbreaks of bitterly cold arctic air, fewer big storms and considerably less than our normal 40 inches of snow.
That map was for August only. Don't know about June, and July....,
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