Spring 2016 thread (Northern Hemisphere) (snow, warm, record, temperatures)
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lol I wasn't ignoring without reason. My theory .. In a warm pattern don't believe the well below normal trend in the long range, vise versa, in a cool pattern don't believe the warm trend shown in long range. Only until it gets closer in time should you believe it. This seems to be coming true once again. We've been in a cool pattern since start of April and so I wasn't buying those long lasting warm anomalies yet. We'll see. Seasonably warm Yes. Well above normal for days on end. No.
BTW ... Makes me wonder if we actually switched now...or just a blip in the overall pattern that's lasting many months now. Very beginning was May 2015 but more-so sustained since September
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium
Maybe.. Patterns don't last more than 3-6 months usually in my finding. Sometimes shorter, sometimes longer. We been in this above normal pattern here for 6 months now. Hmmm. (Since September)
TBH I didn't expect that either along with the Freeze watch here too but as we know, things always flow. so I bet there's a warm front coming by Thursday.
Freeze watch already there? Too early here, growing season hasn't begun. Don't think we've ever had one this early, maybe in 2012?
Quote:
Not unusual? Well.. if Hartford gets below 30°F tonight it will be the 7th time this month which would be 3rd most # of times for the period of April 1 to 13.. only 4 other years would have more.
We average 9 nights below 30°F in April [using the Amherst CO-OP station]. We've had 6 so far, it's possible we might be below 9 this month.
lol I wasn't ignoring without reason. My theory .. In a warm pattern don't believe the well below normal trend in the long range, vise versa, in a cool pattern don't believe the warm trend shown in long range. Only until it gets closer in time should you believe it. This seems to be coming true once again. We've been in a cool pattern since start of April and so I wasn't buying those long lasting warm anomalies yet. We'll see. Seasonably warm Yes. Well above normal for days on end. No.
What were we in for the last month? Warm pattern? Cool pattern? It was all over the place.
Freeze watch already there? Too early here, growing season hasn't begun. Don't think we've ever had one this early, maybe in 2012?
.
April 2, 2012 we had a Freeze Watch. Not sure about Southern MA though.
Quote:
Originally Posted by nei
We average 9 nights below 30°F in April [using the Amherst CO-OP station]. We've had 6 so far, it's possible we might be below 9 this month.
You're using an entire month. I used so far (well, until the 13th). So having 6 already when your normal is 9 sounds like a lot given there is still 18 days left. But I agree, pattern coming up for 2nd half might not support many more.
The Avg temp of 39.3° for Amherst so far is the coldest start for April since 2003.
Well yeah what else is new. The ridge always comes back to the west in the last few years. That is what I have been saying. Why? Cause all the warm water off their coast and the warm PDO.
El Nino is fading and we are the mercy of that warm water off the PNW. Now you know why I want it gone.
Not only the Euro.. GFS showing a cold Upper Low over Northeast in 10-13 days around April 23rd which would lead to frost all the way down to DC and freezes in New England.. So we may be seeing more 20s coming towards end of April after all. We'll see. Are we in a new pattern????
Looks like the November 2013-August 2015 pattern is coming back again...we had a bit of a break due to the El Nino and now the cold epoch comes back in full force
They even lowered the forecast tomorrow from seasonable to below average, I'm so ****ing done with this bull****
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My theory .. In a warm pattern don't believe the well below normal trend in the long range, vise versa, in a cool pattern don't believe the warm trend shown in long range. Only until it gets closer in time should you believe it. This seems to be coming true once again. We've been in a cool pattern since start of April and so I wasn't buying those long lasting warm anomalies yet. We'll see. Seasonably warm Yes. Well above normal for days on end. No.
