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Old 10-09-2017, 09:05 PM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

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Location: Western Massachusetts
45,983 posts, read 53,506,965 times
Reputation: 15184

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walking outside and it started raining on me; was so mild outside it didn't feel too cold at first. Forgot to bring a rain jacket, assumed the rain was done. Warm enough you can get rained on comfortably...

Temperature: 73°F, dewpoint 72°F. It's supposed to drop tonight...

 
Old 10-10-2017, 04:05 AM
 
Location: Göle, Turkey
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The lowest temperature difference between Göle and Ardahan for the last 7 days.

Today:

Göle: +4.7℃
Ardahan: +7℃

Yesterday:

Göle: -4.7℃
Ardahan: -1℃

2 days ago:

Göle: -6.6℃
Ardahan: -1.7℃

3 days ago:

Göle: -6.5℃
Ardahan: +4℃

4 days ago:

Göle: -7.4℃
Ardahan: -3.7℃

5 days ago:

Göle: -6.3℃
Ardahan: -3.3℃

6 days ago:

Göle: -2.3℃
Ardahan: -2℃

Record low of last 7 days:

Göle: -7.4℃
Ardahan: -3.7℃

Average low of last 7 days:

Göle: -4.2℃
Ardahan: -0.1℃

Last edited by atsizat; 10-10-2017 at 04:42 AM..
 
Old 10-10-2017, 04:16 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
Reputation: 16626
2 Maps...


Temps at 5000' and Upper Height pattern







Surface temps


 
Old 10-10-2017, 04:38 AM
 
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Two chances at soaking rains over coming week in Chicago | WGN-TV





 
Old 10-10-2017, 04:55 AM
 
Location: Live:Downtown Phoenix, AZ/Work:Greater Los Angeles, CA
27,606 posts, read 14,610,214 times
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Forecast high today is 33.3°C, 1.1°C above average

Currently 21.1°C with a dewpoint of -9.4°C at 3am Pacific Time
 
Old 10-10-2017, 05:27 AM
 
29,537 posts, read 19,632,331 times
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Look out next week.


https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/s...06438205595648
 
Old 10-10-2017, 05:45 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post

The Jet continues to dig down over the tall Rockies with no signs of it happening in the East, other than a 1-2 day quick thing for the next 2 weeks.


GFS had hinted a big cool down coming past 10 days but it just keeps disappearing in time. At this point seasonal will feel cold
 
Old 10-10-2017, 06:02 AM
 
Location: Washington County, PA
4,240 posts, read 4,921,031 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
The Jet continues to dig down over the tall Rockies with no signs of it happening in the East, other than a 1-2 day quick thing for the next 2 weeks.


GFS had hinted a big cool down coming past 10 days but it just keeps disappearing in time. At this point seasonal will feel cold
The last 20 days have been ridiculous. I'm rooting for anything around seasonal or even only a few degs above normal.

I'm really hoping this isn't where the jet is going to be in the winter (looks like La niña jets but wayyy farther north).
 
Old 10-10-2017, 07:41 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
Reputation: 16626
Quote:
Originally Posted by speagles84 View Post
The last 20 days have been ridiculous. I'm rooting for anything around seasonal or even only a few degs above normal.

I'm really hoping this isn't where the jet is going to be in the winter (looks like La niña jets but wayyy farther north).
Yeah, it's been brutal for sure. I'm starring at the air mass aloft and it's so sad to look at lately. Normal temps at 5000' is now around 7C for us. Meanwhile it's been 15-20C which is pretty much extreme warm side of the scale for this time of year..


I wish more meteos would mention the "why's" but I think many want you to pay for their services for that kind of info. I know Steve D (NYNJPA Weather) sometimes does but when I was interning for him I was getting free school lessons. He knows his stuff. But you wouldn't get his discussions unless you paid through a membership.


Point is... Something has to be changing in the Pacfic, Arctic, or Atlantic for us to get that Jet to dip down in Eastern U.S. I have a feeling the Southeast ridge is one player just not giving up. Another is maybe the Greenland blocking or lack of? Another would be the configuration of the Jet at the northern Latitudes? Polar Vortex too weak or not south enough? Something has to change and asap! lol
 
Old 10-10-2017, 07:46 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
Reputation: 16626
I should start doing blogs.

Quick write up on the Humidity we just had

It was all about Nate. If Nate wasn't around we wouldn't of been "as" humid which was extreme. Timing is amazing when you think about patterns and extremes. No cold fronts pushing across to stop all this.

Quote:
By October, tropical air masses are generally confined to the Gulf of Mexico, and only the Florida Peninsula tends to see dew points in the 70s with any frequency

As mentioned earlier, humidity levels across the nation tend to decline in October. Storm systems, followed by cold fronts, will usually move across the nation and usher in cooler and drier air from the north and northwest. The warm and humid air will then get pushed into the south.

This past weekend, however, a strong surge of tropical moisture has pushed up into the US mainland, compliments of Hurricane Nate. Nate formed in the tropical waters off the western Caribbean, and quickly moved up through the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf Coast. It's remnants have since moved up into the Ohio Valley and into the northeastern US.

The result is an extraordinary amount of tropical moisture in place across a large area. Since there have been no cold fronts to replace this tropical air mass with cooler and dry air, the tropical moisture has been lingering across the southern and eastern US even after the remnants of Nate have passed by.
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