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Does this mean that DC had the largest reduction in homicide rate of all major US cities?
Dallas and Miami come to mind. Though technically, going from 80/100k in 1991 to 13/100k in 2012 would definitely be the biggest single instance of a drop ever.
A mass shooting at a Walmart in Chesapeake leaves 6 dead, 4 others wounded. A manager specifically targeted other managers/employees inside of a meeting room. Crazy situation. That brings them to 25 for the year, and for the first time in the area's history has every city aside from VB have a murder rate above 10/100k in a single year.
As violence continues in the area, one man is dead and two others injured in a pair of separate shootings in VB. The first shooting resulted in the fatality, behind a Waffle House. The second was a domestic dispute in a Food Lion parking lot, two victims and one being an innocent bystander. That's 18 for the year.
Pretty wild numbers for DC back in the day. Does this mean that DC had the largest reduction in homicide rate of all major US cities? DC hasn't cracked 200 yet this year and it's possible that it won't, and that's with a population of ~690K these days.
It's still a bad crime rate, but it's a hell of a lot better than it used to be.
I think DC’s population is well over 700,000 now. Our vacancy rate is very low and DC has delivered around 25,000 new net housing units since 2020. The city is full and busy again with many areas like Navy Yard, The Wharf, NOMA, Union Market, and Mt. Vernon Triangle busier than pre-COVID. There is no possible way DC isn’t closer to 710,000-720,000 now.
I think most cities regained what they lost from COVID from summer 2021 - summer 2022. The last census estimate was done before the great return happened around America. Most of the growth around America in cities this past year isn’t going to be from people moving. It will be from people returning to their apartments and lives after briefly moving away.
I think next year will show a substantial reduction in murders in DC. What people don’t know is shootings are actually showing historically low numbers. The shootings are just more fatal because of the types of guns being used. Another factor that is probably going to change things over the next few years is the massive development happening now east of the river in Ward 7 and 8 where an overwhelmingly high number of murders take place. I think Ward 7 and 8 are about to see a similar reduction NW DC experienced over the last 20 years.
Last edited by MDAllstar; 11-24-2022 at 06:37 AM..
DC does have one of the best perceptions in the media. The bad neighborhoods are mostly out of sight out of mind. Ytd there's been 30 murders in NW (350k) for a rate of 8.5 slightly less than st paul MN. Even PG county has a higher rate than NW DC. Ne/Se (300k) has 154 with a rate of 51 similar to Baltimore or Memphis. Just a tale of two cities.
If Baltimore were able to just clean up 1 side of the city the murder rate would be similar to DC like when the rate was 32 in 2012.
It will be interesting to watch these numbers change as Ward 7 and Ward 8 are entering a season of massive change with cranes dotting the sky east of the river for the first time in its history. I think a similar change that took place in NW is about to happen in Ward 7 and 8.
An interesting question would be what is happening in southside Chicago, central Baltimore, and north Philadelphia? Are similar changes taking place in those neighborhoods that will cut the violence off at its knees in the coming years? I know in DC, some of the worst neighborhoods are now seeing massive new construction of homes selling in the $600,000 range like Marshall Heights in SE DC. It will be interesting to see how the numbers change in the coming years. That’s what happened in NW DC.
DC’s homicide rate is down 8% from last year right now.
As violence continues in the area, one man is dead and two others injured in a pair of separate shootings in VB. The first shooting resulted in the fatality, behind a Waffle House. The second was a domestic dispute in a Food Lion parking lot, two victims and one being an innocent bystander. That's 18 for the year.
That's 19 for The Beach (4.15). NEVB 5/6.94; NWVB 6/5.45; SWVB 7/3.43; one in Southeast Virginia Beach in Oceana earlier this year...
Norfolk at 54/22.98:
Southside 5/62.5; West Side 19/37.25; East Side 12/20.34; Northside 18/15.25...
Richmond at 58/25.55:
East End 16/59.26; North Side 12/34.29; Southside 26/26.8; West End 3/5.36
North Carolina
Raleigh already has set its city record with 38 murders this year (38/8.1). Even if you subtracted the five from the mass shooting, Rgh would still be on the verge if breaking the previous record of 34...
East Rgh 15/33.33; South Rgh 7/6.03; West Rgh 2/5.56; North Rgh 13/5.02; one Downtown earlier this year...
Charlotte is 84/9.55:
West Clt 21/16.41; East Clt 20/13.99; North Clt 22/10.33; South Clt 20/5.57; one Uptown earlier this year...
Fayetteville 36/17.22:
South Fay 9/18.75; North Fay 10/17.86; West Fay 15/16.3; one in East Fayetteville, one downtown...
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