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Old 08-03-2014, 07:01 PM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,298 posts, read 18,888,129 times
Reputation: 5126

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Ok, I'm not sure if yesterday data dropped it like a rock but now I'm not seeing it in the Top 20. Did I check something else last night that showed it? Did I dream it? Am I losing it? LOL

Caribou Maine having it's Warmest on record so far & Burlington,VT 10th. Maybe I was looking at Burlington?
One interesting thing ive noticed is that in the big coasatal cities from Boston to DC, the top 10 warmest months for each month tend to be heavily clustered in the last 50 years indeed often the last 30, whereas this is not so for inland area with a long record like Burlington and albany, indeed burlingtons top 10 summers seem to show no such cluster.

I am not sure why, one theory ive read is that the big cities have higher skycrapers than say 100 years ago that give off more heat where the smaller cities do not have this phenomenon. Another is that along the way the smaller cities moved their weqther stations from downtown to airports in rural areas, whereas NYC still uses Central Park and Logan, Philly and Reagan airports are surrounded by urbanity and barely moved from downtown.

 
Old 08-04-2014, 05:09 AM
 
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Looks like another not too hot but still muggy day today. Last few days have been kinda gross out. Certainly could've been worse if the temps were higher, but still gross nonetheless
 
Old 08-04-2014, 08:06 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,520 posts, read 75,307,397 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jp03 View Post
lol... I expect a cooler than normal fall..or maybe a warmer than normal fall.
Don't forget about Normal. LOL. Tell us what you really think, it's ok to be wrong. Use the risk-reward thing. Which has better odds? Right now there is less odds that favor a well above normal Fall. Pattern doesn't support it and patterns don't change on the dime so either use your own strategy to make a call or use the percentage game of current conditions in the atmosphere.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tilt11 View Post
Looks like another not too hot but still muggy day today. Last few days have been kinda gross out. Certainly could've been worse if the temps were higher, but still gross nonetheless
Looks like Status quo. Here's 8 day forecast for coastal areas. Bit warmer for Inland and cooler at night. 80s/60s. Slow and steady. No 90s in sight next 10 days still.

 
Old 08-04-2014, 10:38 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,520 posts, read 75,307,397 times
Reputation: 16620
While we been "slightly" below normal recent days, the bigger cooler departures are west of us naturally.

Temp departures last 7 days. Seems like the blue & purple paint is not washable lately. Only 5 States with well above normal temps in them

 
Old 08-04-2014, 10:55 AM
 
10,007 posts, read 11,161,435 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Don't forget about Normal. LOL. Tell us what you really think, it's ok to be wrong. Use the risk-reward thing. Which has better odds? Right now there is less odds that favor a well above normal Fall. Pattern doesn't support it and patterns don't change on the dime so either use your own strategy to make a call or use the percentage game of current conditions in the atmosphere.



Looks like Status quo. Here's 8 day forecast for coastal areas. Bit warmer for Inland and cooler at night. 80s/60s. Slow and steady. No 90s in sight next 10 days still.
I would guess below normal at this juncture. But I emphasize GUESS

But I still say betting against the long range forecast is greater than 50/50 odds.

Look at July above normal (didnt feel like it ) and albeit by very little and they predicted below.
 
Old 08-04-2014, 11:44 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,520 posts, read 75,307,397 times
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So by now (through August 3rd) BDR saw 13 days with 90°+ last year! Only 1 so far.

2012: 12
2011: 6
2010: 12
2009: 0
2008: 8
2007: 3

This year is matching 2009 in many ways for many areas in the U.S
 
Old 08-04-2014, 02:36 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,520 posts, read 75,307,397 times
Reputation: 16620
Are u curious how many 90° days happened for these cities so far?

Take a look & compare to previous years for the period (Jan 1 - August 3)

For instance... Last year by now Bridgeport had 13 days of 90° or warmer, this year only 1.
In 2010 NYC had 22 days by now, this year only 3


 
Old 08-04-2014, 07:10 PM
 
10,007 posts, read 11,161,435 times
Reputation: 6303
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Are u curious how many 90° days happened for these cities so far?

Take a look & compare to previous years for the period (Jan 1 - August 3)

For instance... Last year by now Bridgeport had 13 days of 90° or warmer, this year only 1.
In 2010 NYC had 22 days by now, this year only 3

That is great info...

Its odd how more cities were slightly above normal then. Higher low temps i guess.
 
Old 08-05-2014, 05:36 AM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,298 posts, read 18,888,129 times
Reputation: 5126
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Are u curious how many 90° days happened for these cities so far?

Take a look & compare to previous years for the period (Jan 1 - August 3)

For instance... Last year by now Bridgeport had 13 days of 90° or warmer, this year only 1.
In 2010 NYC had 22 days by now, this year only 3

Looks like we suddenly have an outside shot at 90 today (I bet BDL and EWR do it somehow... ), but after today not again for the foreseeable future though Accu-Weather's super long-range "wish cast" seems to have some hot weather the 3rd week of August.
 
Old 08-05-2014, 09:51 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,520 posts, read 75,307,397 times
Reputation: 16620
RANT RANT RANT!!!!!!!!!!!! Good Read... Be Careful guys what you read and who you follow.. Lots of teenage kids have Twitter and Facebook pages and no idea about weather or forecasting

https://www.facebook.com/notes/wxris...26496207397640

"ISSUING WINTER 2014-15 FORECASTS IN JULY ? you have to be kidding me"
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