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Old 11-03-2019, 02:15 AM
 
Location: Baltimore, MD
833 posts, read 499,607 times
Reputation: 233

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Watch out for a potential snowstorm Nov 8-9

 
Old 11-03-2019, 05:16 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
Reputation: 16619
Snowing at my sisters house from lake Erie effect snows


40 at Bridgeport
30 in Hartford


37 here.


 
Old 11-03-2019, 02:50 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by Solstodur View Post
Watch out for a potential snowstorm Nov 8-9
Euro12z shows it again. PLEASE NO!! Goodbye Winter. Also... I don't want a repeat of last year road nightmare! Plows better be ready

Active Pattern!!

3 maps.........

Clipper Mid Week misses us to the north. And cold air comes in behind it setting the stage for................




Another storm...... Does it stay south like this scenario which GFS is showing?





Or with this track which Euro is showing?


 
Old 11-03-2019, 03:02 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
Reputation: 16619
Add the German model now.


 
Old 11-03-2019, 03:50 PM
 
Location: Baltimore, MD
833 posts, read 499,607 times
Reputation: 233
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Add the German model now.

ICON is trash, so hopefully the reverse is true
 
Old 11-03-2019, 04:17 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by Solstodur View Post
ICON is trash, so hopefully the reverse is true
Looks like the GFS now on snow next Monday night. What a pattern coming. I think this Arctic air is bringing a lot of energy with it.
 
Old 11-04-2019, 05:27 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
Reputation: 16619
Woke up at 2am to check the Euro... 2 snowstorms next 10 days. NO....JUST NO!!!
Quote:

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
610 AM EST Mon Nov 4 2019

Wintertime complexities then begin to emerge in the forecast for
Thursday and Friday. The GFS brings in a strong cold front, while
the ECMWF and GEM develop a much stronger system along the frontal
boundary. WPC continues to weight their forecast towards the
ECMWF/GEM solution, and we will do the same. That doesn`t however
remove the uncertainty. As a result, probabilities were capped at 50
percent. If the scenario of the ECMWF does materialize, the exact
track of the low then becomes an issue as well. The current progged
track would put ern and srn areas primarily in the rain, with a snow
threat north and west. The system will have a sufficient amount of
cold air to work with however, so sely changes in track would bring
some snow to other portions of the area. The forecast therefore
indicates a chance for rain or snow for all of the area except for
the ocean with this system. CONSALL was generally used for
temperatures through the period. The GFS solution would result in
some fairly light rain with the front, then perhaps a few flakes
behind it.
 
Old 11-04-2019, 06:44 AM
 
6,569 posts, read 4,962,654 times
Reputation: 7999
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Woke up at 2am to check the Euro... 2 snowstorms next 10 days. NO....JUST NO!!!
Time to mount the snows... hopefully that helps prevent something!
 
Old 11-04-2019, 09:46 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
Reputation: 16619
Pop Quiz...


What do you get when the northern Jet stream dips south of us and the above normal precip pattern continues?
 
Old 11-04-2019, 11:27 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
Reputation: 16619
THURSDAY-FRIDAY NOVEMBER 7-8 STORM UPDATE::


New Euro12z is still loading but I wanted to show what it's showing...

For Danbury

Precip moves in Thursday evening. Euro says Danbury is going to be at 52°F Thursday 1pm. 45.4F Thursday 7pm.

Note the 850mb column. (5000' temps). It's hovering at freezing but the surface is too warm for snow.
Then note when the precip ends, temps aloft crash down in the teens! By that time, precip is ending.




Euro says the storm is that close Friday morning. A shift of just 25 miles and its gonna snow in Danbury


See the freezing line on the map at 12z (7am)? Close to Danbury. Look at the data above for Friday 12z. 850mb column showing 31.4°.


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