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Old 06-15-2012, 10:20 PM
 
Location: Texas State Fair
8,560 posts, read 11,221,111 times
Reputation: 4258

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Obama will win...electoral map fun
Quote:
Obama has a number of paths to get to re-elected.
Which would mean he has a number of paths to lose, which I'd prefer. The only poll that matters is the big one in November. Nothing else matters... excepting to get rid of the guy.
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Old 06-15-2012, 10:24 PM
 
69,368 posts, read 64,156,622 times
Reputation: 9383
Quote:
Originally Posted by Clark Park View Post
At this point in time, I think Obama will beat Romney.
Its really a toss up, and the indicating factor will be if he can get out the vote. I wonder how many Democrats are so fed up, that they simply will stay home, while Republicans I bet are far more motivated to vote out the incompetent fool.
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Old 06-15-2012, 10:33 PM
 
Location: University City, Philadelphia
22,632 posts, read 14,954,251 times
Reputation: 15935
Quote:
Originally Posted by pghquest View Post
Its really a toss up, and the indicating factor will be if he can get out the vote. I wonder how many Democrats are so fed up, that they simply will stay home, while Republicans I bet are far more motivated to vote out the incompetent fool.
There are a lot of Republicans who would not have chosen Romney as their first choice, but they will "hold their noses" and vote for him anyway. Even Evangelists who are not thrilled with the idea of a Mormon president. Same thing with the Democrats. Obama is energizing his base, the traditional Democrats will vote for him: the Black, Women, Urban, Asian, Hispanic, LGBT, Labor, Environmentalist, Jewish, Educators, etc. block. That Democrats are "fed up" with Obama is a pretty myth and fairy tale Republicans hope has some truth to it, but in reality it is just wishful thinking.
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Old 06-15-2012, 10:38 PM
 
69,368 posts, read 64,156,622 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Clark Park View Post
That Democrats are "fed up" with Obama is a pretty myth and fairy tale Republicans hope has some truth to it, but in reality it is just wishful thinking.
Then explain the recent polls..
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Old 06-15-2012, 11:19 PM
 
Location: Montgomery County, MD
3,236 posts, read 3,941,144 times
Reputation: 3010
Right wingers just want to believe Romney will win but they can't be bothered to do the math. Romney needs to pull off pretty much a clean sweep of swing states which is a herculean task with no margin of error. If you try to make a map showing a potential Romney presidential win, you'll see how far fetched it is.
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Old 06-15-2012, 11:23 PM
 
69,368 posts, read 64,156,622 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PhenomenalAJ View Post
Right wingers just want to believe Romney will win but they can't be bothered to do the math. Romney needs to pull off pretty much a clean sweep of swing states which is a herculean task with no margin of error. If you try to make a map showing a potential Romney presidential win, you'll see how far fetched it is.
You mean like Reagan did?
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Old 06-15-2012, 11:43 PM
 
Location: On the "Left Coast", somewhere in "the Land of Fruits & Nuts"
8,852 posts, read 10,464,466 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pghquest View Post
You mean like Reagan did?
Only in the neo-con universe does Obama = Carter.
And even they don't think Romney = Reagan (...LOL)!
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Old 06-15-2012, 11:49 PM
 
16,345 posts, read 18,083,951 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by btownboss4 View Post
Michigan and Wisconisns latest polls have Obama either up or down a point or 2, that shod warrent toss up status.
Anyone who thinks these are tossup states should probably step away from political discussion. The GOP needs to focus on states they have a chance in... like Florida, NC, maybe Virginia, etc and give up on the Upper Midwest, which will remain blue this year.
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Old 06-15-2012, 11:55 PM
 
16,345 posts, read 18,083,951 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marcopolo View Post
FL, OH, NC, WI, IA, MO, AZ, plus any one of NV, CO, VA, MI, NH. If the president's approval rating continues in the 45% range, Romney will likely win all of these. Obama seems to be doubling down on policy proposals that are not selling and campaign strategies that are flawed, and his syncophants tell him it is just a matter of talking more. By election day, 53-55% of us might be awfully tired of hearing him talk.
Romney, in all likelihood, will not win Ohio. Ohioans really don't like the Republican governor, rejected anti-union legislation overwhelmingly and the economy there is doing much better than the national average. Ohio is usually not a landslide for either party in an election, and this one probably won't be any different, but there are solid reasons to believe that Ohio stays blue. And as you all know, no Republican has become president without it.
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Old 06-15-2012, 11:57 PM
 
16,345 posts, read 18,083,951 times
Reputation: 7889
Quote:
Originally Posted by pghquest View Post
Its really a toss up, and the indicating factor will be if he can get out the vote. I wonder how many Democrats are so fed up, that they simply will stay home, while Republicans I bet are far more motivated to vote out the incompetent fool.
By voting for an even larger incompetent fool. Awesome strategy, GOP voters.
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