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Two new polls just come out this morning
Texas +10
Ohio +15
So they should both be LIKELY for Clinton now.
That Texas poll is really good news for Sanders. Texas is a huge part of Super Tuesday, and getting plenty of delegates there is good for the future. When the election moves towards the western states later on in the campaign, the territory is more favorable with more rural and working class states with an independent streak in addition to more progressive states.
When there are multiple current polls, I'd go with an average rather assume any individual poll represents more than one individual poll. So for instance, Hillary is up an average of 22+ in TX based on three recent polls. As more info starts to come in, then we'll know if that new poll is a trend or an outlier.
This is an overall snapshot of the race right now based on the available polls. I will keep updating each time new polls come in, so things will change as new polls come in.
Solid for Sanders: Vermont, West Virginia
Likely for Sanders: Alaska, Maine, Utah
Leaning for Sanders: Colorado, Massachusetts
Toss-ups: Oklahoma, Wisconsin
Leaning for Clinton: Minnesota, Missouri, Oregon
Likely for Clinton: California, Connecticut, Idaho, Maryland, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, Virginia
Solid for Clinton: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee
Not enough data for the remaining 13 states and D.C.
Not that bad of a list, though I would caution not reading that much into polls conducted prior to when voting began.
New Gallup Poll - Most Common Reacton To Hillary Clinton -> LIAR
I suppose there really isn't new news here. Americans think Hillary Clinton is a liar. In fact they seem to equate her name to being a liar. I don't think I remember any candidate running for President where the candidate's name was synonymous with liar.
Some very good news there. Sanders is now neck and neck with Hillary among hispanics, which shows that Nevada was no fluke. If he can continue this positive trend, things look very good in later states.
Some very good news there. Sanders is now neck and neck with Hillary among hispanics, which shows that Nevada was no fluke. If he can continue this positive trend, things look very good in later states.
I wouldn't get too excited.
Quote:
This slight advantage over Sanders does not hold across all Hispanic age groups, however. When further breaking down Hispanic support, Sanders' strong popularity among millennial voters holds. Sanders does better than Clinton among Hispanic voters under age 35 by 26 points — 60 percent to 34 percent. For Hispanic voters older than 35, however, Clinton is the favorite over Sanders by nearly the same margin — 30 points.
And we know that people who are older are far more likely to get out and actually vote.
Some very good news there. Sanders is now neck and neck with Hillary among hispanics, which shows that Nevada was no fluke. If he can continue this positive trend, things look very good in later states.
Well Clinton and Sanders are essentially tied among whites too in NV, so that's bad news for Sanders too...
And we know that people who are older are far more likely to get out and actually vote.
For some reason, he's obsessed with Latinos when he's ignoring that it was only younger Latinos who were excited about him, similar to younger whites. I think it's a projection because he's mad African Americans aren't voting in massive margins for Clinton.
For some reason, he's obsessed with Latinos when he's ignoring that it was only younger Latinos who were excited about him, similar to younger whites. I think it's a projection because he's mad African Americans aren't voting in massive margins for Clinton.
Are you talking about me? Why not address me?
A month ago it was said that Sanders could only attract whites. His supporters were lily white. Now he's neck and neck with Hillary among hispanics. Thats good news.
The media is obsessed with race, but it really is a generational gap, where people younger than 40 overwhelmingly prefer Sanders while the people over 45 overwhelmingly support Clinton. I think it has to do with where people get their news from.
My prediction is that the longer the race continues the more support he'll get as he's still not known many places, while Clinton has 99.9% national recognition.
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New Gallup Poll - Most Common Reacton To Hillary Clinton -> LIAR
